
Denver (3-2) at LA Clippers (2-3)
- When: May 1 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA, USA
- TV: TNT
Nuggets vs Clippers – Game 6 Breakdown & Predictions
Spread: Clippers -6.0 | Total: 212.5
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Denver looked cooked after a humiliating 34-point loss in Game 3, but they’ve flipped the script with two straight wins, including a statement 131-115 blowout in Game 5. Jamal Murray exploded for 43 points, knocking down 8 triples and putting up one of the best individual performances of the playoffs. He’s now racked up six career postseason 40-point games — a franchise record.
The Nuggets won Game 4 on a buzzer-beating dunk by Aaron Gordon and carried that momentum into a Game 5 beatdown, despite Nikola Jokic having a quiet scoring night (13 points on 4-of-13). Jokic still notched his 21st career playoff triple-double, proving why he’s such a matchup nightmare.
Prop Pick Targets (Nuggets):
Jamal Murray Over 20.5 Points: He’s feeling it, and in closeout games, stars tend to rise.
Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists: Clippers are keying in on him to score, leaving playmaking lanes wide open.
Russell Westbrook Over 11.5 Points: With confidence rolling off the bench, he’s been a solid X-factor.
Denver enters Game 6 as a +6 road dog, but they’re a real threat to win outright and end this series. They’re locked in defensively and clicking offensively at just the right time.
Prediction: Nuggets +6 looks like strong value. Expect a tightly contested battle, but Denver has the edge in chemistry and clutch playmaking. Lean toward the Under 212.5 if Denver controls tempo.
LA Clippers Betting Preview
The Clippers have their backs against the wall heading into Game 6 at home. Despite strong efforts from Ivica Zubac (27 points) and Kawhi Leonard (20-11-9) in Game 5, they couldn’t keep pace with Denver’s hot shooting.
James Harden has fallen off a cliff over the past two games, averaging just 13 points and struggling to get separation. Ty Lue openly admitted the Nuggets have schemed him out of the series — and it’s showing.
Kawhi Leonard has been their most consistent weapon, averaging 25.2 points in the series and putting up 20+ in 20 straight games. If LA wants any shot at forcing Game 7, they’ll need vintage Harden and more help from their bench unit.
Prop Pick Targets (Clippers):
Kawhi Leonard Over 24.5 Points: Mr. Reliable in the postseason — look for another high-usage game.
James Harden Over 2.5 3PM: Buy-low spot if Lue adjusts the offensive flow to free him up.
Ivica Zubac Over 11.5 Rebounds: He’s been a glass-cleaner this series, especially in home games.
The Clippers are favored by 6, but that number feels inflated given their inconsistency. They’ve lost their last two first-round matchups and are facing a more cohesive Nuggets team.
Prediction: Clippers may pull out the win at home, but covering 6 points is a stretch. If Harden remains cold, they’ll struggle to put Denver away. Consider Denver ATS and Kawhi player props as the safer play.
Best Bets:
Spread: Denver +6
Total: Under 212.5
Final Score Prediction: Clippers 107, Nuggets 103
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
