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Denver (1-2) at Minnesota (2-1)
- When: Apr 25 2026, 8:30 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: ABC
Denver vs Minnesota Preview & Prediction
Spread: Denver -1.0
Moneyline: Denver (-115)
Total: 229.0
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
Minnesota walks into Game 4 with momentum and confidence after taking control of the series. Back-to-back wins, including a dominant showing in Game 3, have shifted the tone. This is now their opportunity to push Denver to the brink.
Anthony Edwards remains the focal point, averaging 23 points per game in the series. The interesting part is he has not even been efficient yet, shooting below his usual numbers from both the field and beyond the arc. That tells you there is still another level available. If Edwards finds his rhythm, Minnesota becomes significantly more dangerous.
Jaden McDaniels added fuel to the fire and backed it up with a strong performance, delivering 20 points and 10 rebounds in Game 3. His two-way presence is becoming a real factor. Add in the surprise boost from Ayo Dosunmu, who dropped 25 points and added nine assists off the bench, and Minnesota suddenly has multiple ways to hurt opponents.
The key for the Timberwolves is maintaining that defensive pressure. They disrupted Denver’s offensive flow, forced difficult looks, and controlled the pace. If they replicate that effort, they can continue dictating terms in this series.
Timberwolves Prop Pick: Anthony Edwards over 25.5 points
With volume and opportunity, he is due for a breakout scoring performance.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Denver enters Game 4 in a must-respond situation. Down 2-1, this is where experience is expected to show. However, the issues from Game 3 cannot be ignored.
Nikola Jokic is still producing at a high level, averaging over 25 points per game, but the efficiency has dipped. Shooting just 40 percent from the field and struggling from deep is not typical for him. History suggests a bounce-back is coming, and when Jokic adjusts, the entire offense improves.
Jamal Murray continues to contribute offensively, but the supporting cast has not matched Minnesota’s depth. The potential absence of Aaron Gordon adds another layer of concern, particularly on the defensive end and in transition.
Denver’s focus must be on execution. Better screening, cleaner ball movement, and stronger offensive presence are all necessary. They have the experience to respond, but the margin for error is shrinking.
If the Nuggets can stabilize their offense and regain efficiency, they can even the series. But they need a complete performance, not just flashes.
Nuggets Prop Pick: Nikola Jokic over 29.5 points
Given his volume and expected regression to the mean, a stronger scoring output is likely.
Betting Preview
Denver being a slight favorite at -1.0 shows how tight this matchup has become. Minnesota has momentum and home court, while Denver brings experience and star power.
The total at 229.0 suggests a faster pace and higher scoring environment compared to earlier games. That could favor both offenses if efficiency improves.
This is a swing game. Minnesota has the edge in rhythm, but Denver has the edge in urgency and experience. Expect a tighter contest with adjustments on both sides.
Final Score: Nuggets 118, Timberwolves 113
Lean: Denver -1.0
Total: Over 229.0
- NBA Playoffs Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
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