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Houston Texans 2022-23 NFL Preview, Season Odds, Props Picks & Predictions

Rebuild Continues as Houston Texans Could be In for a Long Season

(Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images) Davis Mills

The Houston Texans are entering their second year in rebuilding mode and while the haul they received with the trade of Deshaun Jackson and the four prospects they selected in the first two rounds of this year’s draft was impressive, the 2022 season will be one of experimentation. They elected to wait another year to select a quarterback and decided to give David Mills a chance in 2022 knowing that the 2023 NFL draft will be stacked with promising quarterbacks. Mills was decent at best last season and his lack of arm strength and field vison makes him a commodity.

Save for WR Brandin Cooks who managed to top another 1,000 yards season in receiving, Mills simply doesn’t have any other quality receivers at his disposal. Rookie John Metchie III could alleviate things for Mills but he is recovering from a torn ACL and he is after all… a rookie. Otherwise, it’s Nico Collins, Chris Conley and TE Brevin Jordan, who have combined for less than a 1,000 yards last season. The backfield could be even worse. Rex Burkhead led the group of rushers last year with 427 yards and might still be the spearhead of the unit.

Former Colt Marlon Mack signed with the team in April but hasn’t been the same since he tore his Achilles in 2020 after rushing for 1,091 yards the year before for Indy. In fact, although healthy, Mack was inactive for the Colts after Week 8 last season. The defense was one of the worse units in the league last year and while the Texans have made moves to improve it, it will take time for the unit to gel. The appointment of Lovie Smith as Head Coach could also be construed as a minority rental to appease the delicate hiring process of the NFL. Don’t be surprised if Smith is one-and-done after this season.

While the Texans have dates with the Bears, Jets and a couple of games against the Jaguars, you could argue that beating those three teams isn’t a cinch at all. They are also scheduled to face the AFC West and NFC East. In fact, apart from the Jaguars, they will come in as underdogs in each of their other 15 games, if not all of them.

Houston Texans Offseason Moves:
Notable Additions: QB Kyle Allen, RB Dare Ogunbowale, RB Marlon Mack, WR Chad Beebe, G A.J. Cann, C Scott Quessenberry, DE Jerry Hughes, DE Mario Addison, DE/OLB Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin, LB Blake Cashman, S M.J. Stewart
Notable Departures: QB Deshaun Watson, OT Marcus Cannon, OT Geron Christian, G Lane Taylor, DT DeMarcus Walker, OLB Jacob Martin, S Justin Reid, S Lonnie Johnson
1st and 2nd Draft Picks: CB Derek Stingley Jr. (3), OL Kenyon Green (15), S Jalen Pitre (37), WR John Metchie III (44)

2022-23 Houston Texans NFL Futures Odds

The hiring of Lovie Smith can only be associated as a marriage of convenience but certain to fail. You just don’t promote someone from the staff of a 4-13 team the year before to right the ship the following season. Teams playing the Texans will check the W before they enter the field but Houston could win a couple of games this year against a team caught napping at the wheel.
Last year’s record: 4-13
My Prediction: 2-15

2022-23 Houston Texans Stage of Elimination

  • To Miss the Playoffs   -6600
  • To Lose in Wildcard Round   +750
  • To Lose in Divisional Round   +2000
  • To Lose in Conference Championship Game   +7500
  • To Lose in Super Bowl   +10000
  • To Win Super Bowl   +25000

Odds According to Bovada as of August, 2022

2025 Super Bowl LIX Odds

2022-23 Houston Texans Season Team Specials

Houston Texans
Any HOU Texans player to have over 999.5 Reg season Receiving yards    -110
Davis Mills to have over 349.5 Passing yards in at least 2 Reg season games    +150
Brandin Cooks to have over 124.5 Receiving yards in at least 2 Reg season games    +190
Davis Mills to Throw for at least 400 Yards in any Reg Season Game    +210
Brandin Cooks over 999.5 Reg season Receiving yards & HOU Texans over 4.5 Reg season wins    +275
Davis Mills over 3999.5 Reg season Passing yards & over 21.5 Reg season Passing TDs    +550
HOU Texans to beat IND Colts, JAX Jaguars & TEN Titans all at least once during the Reg Season    +650
Any HOU Texans player to have over 999.5 Reg season Rush yards    +700
HOU Texans to be a Wild Card seed & Dameon Pierce over 400.5 Reg Season Rushing Yards    +10000

Season Props According to Bovada as of August, 2022

Aengus NFL Season Special Prediction on Texans:

  • Houston won’t win over 3.5 games
  • David Mills will not go over 3,000 yards passing
  • Houston will have the first overall pick in 2023
  • No Houston receiver will go over 1,000 yards
  • No Houston running back will go over 1,000 yards
  • Houston will lose both games versus Jacksonville

Bet on the Houston Texans 2022-23 Season Props at Bovada Sportsbook.

Houston Texans 2022-23 Schedule

PRESEASON
W. Date Time Opponent Game site TV
1 13-Aug 7:00 p.m. New Orleans Saints NRG Stadium KTRK
2 19-Aug 9:00 p.m. at Los Angeles Rams SoFi Stadium KTRK
3 25-Aug 7:00 p.m. San Francisco 49ers NRG Stadium Prime Video
REGULAR SEASON
W. Date Time Opponent Game site TV
1 11-Sep 1:00 p.m. Indianapolis Colts NRG Stadium CBS
2 18-Sep 4:25 p.m. at Denver Broncos Empower Field at Mile High CBS
3 25-Sep 1:00 p.m. at Chicago Bears Soldier Field CBS
4 2-Oct 1:00 p.m. Los Angeles Chargers NRG Stadium CBS
5 9-Oct 1:00 p.m. at Jacksonville Jaguars TIAA Bank Field CBS
6 Bye
7 23-Oct 4:05 p.m. at Las Vegas Raiders Allegiant Stadium CBS
8 30-Oct 4:05 p.m. Tennessee Titans NRG Stadium CBS
9 3-Nov 8:15 p.m. Philadelphia Eagles NRG Stadium Prime Video
10 13-Nov 1:00 p.m. at New York Giants MetLife Stadium CBS
11 20-Nov 1:00 p.m. Washington Commanders NRG Stadium Fox
12 27-Nov 1:00 p.m. at Miami Dolphins Hard Rock Stadium CBS
13 4-Dec 1:00 p.m. Cleveland Browns NRG Stadium CBS
14 11-Dec 1:00 p.m. at Dallas Cowboys AT&T Stadium Fox
15 18-Dec 1:00 p.m. Kansas City Chiefs NRG Stadium CBS
16 24-Dec 1:00 p.m. at Tennessee Titans Nissan Stadium CBS
17 1-Jan 1:00 p.m. Jacksonville Jaguars NRG Stadium CBS
18 Jan 7/8 TBD at Indianapolis Colts Lucas Oil Stadium TBD

All Time EST

Bet on the Houston Texans 2022-23 Season at Bovada Sportsbook.

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