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Indiana (13-9) at Las Vegas (17-6)
- When: Jul 12 2026, 9:00 PM
- Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV, USA
- TV: NBC/Peacock
Indiana vs Las Vegas Preview & Prediction
Spread: Las Vegas -4.5
Moneyline: Las Vegas (-185)
Total: 179.5
The Las Vegas Aces return to the court less than 24 hours after a historic performance, entering Sunday’s showdown as 4.5-point favorites with the total set at 179.5. Indiana already owns a win in Las Vegas this month, setting up one of the weekend’s most intriguing WNBA matchups.
Indiana Fever Betting Preview
The Fever head back to Las Vegas with confidence after defeating the Aces 84-68 on July 5. Indiana could also receive another boost with Caitlin Clark expected to return after missing the previous game while recovering from a back injury.
Kelsey Mitchell continues to carry the offense. She poured in 27 points against Las Vegas earlier this month and followed it with 29 points against Phoenix. Mitchell has now scored at least 26 points in five consecutive games, making her one of the hottest scorers in the league entering this matchup.
Player Prop Pick: Kelsey Mitchell Over 21.5 Points
Mitchell has been nearly unstoppable during her recent scoring streak and should remain Indiana’s primary offensive weapon.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
The Aces responded to Wilson’s return with the largest victory in franchise history, crushing Phoenix 106-58. A’ja Wilson dominated with 21 points and 15 rebounds, while Las Vegas led by as many as 54 points in a complete team performance.
Jackie Young continues to provide steady production alongside Wilson, and rookie Justine Pissott added a memorable debut by scoring 19 points while setting a WNBA record with five three-pointers in her first career game.
Las Vegas now gets another opportunity to avenge its recent home loss to Indiana, this time with Wilson back in the lineup and the team playing its best basketball of the season.
Player Prop Pick: Jackie Young Over 16.5 Points
Young benefits from the extra attention Wilson draws in the paint, creating quality scoring opportunities throughout the game.
Liev Jackson’s Betting Prediction
Indiana has enough offensive firepower to keep this game competitive, especially if Clark returns, but Wilson completely changes the matchup. The Aces are healthier, playing with confidence and motivated after dropping the previous meeting to the Fever.
Final Score: Aces 94, Fever 87
Lean: Las Vegas Aces -4.5
Total: Over 179.5
- WNBA Playoffs Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
