Indiana (2-0) at Milwaukee (0-2)
- When: Apr 25 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI, USA
- TV: NBA TV
Bucks vs. Pacers Game 3 Preview & Betting Breakdown
Spread: Milwaukee -5.5 | Total: 230.0
Milwaukee Bucks Outlook
Down 0-2 in the series, the Bucks head home with urgency—and they’re favored by 5.5 for a reason. Despite losing both games in Indiana, there were signs of life in Game 2. Giannis Antetokounmpo was dominant with 34 points and 18 boards, and Bobby Portis chipped in with 28 and 12 off the bench. Damian Lillard returned to the lineup after a long absence and logged 37 high-effort minutes, a sign that Milwaukee is all-in.
While they shot over 50% from the field and 40% from deep, defensive lapses have been costly—particularly late in games when stops are critical. Doc Rivers is leaning into the home-court reset, reminding everyone this series hasn’t shifted venues yet. The Bucks’ home edge, combined with their explosive scoring potential, puts them in a strong bounce-back position.
To cover and claw back into the series, Milwaukee needs sharper perimeter defense and more production from the bench—specifically shooters like Gary Trent Jr. and AJ Green, who were quiet in Game 2.
Indiana Pacers Outlook
The Pacers have played with energy, pace, and confidence—three things that have helped them take a 2-0 lead. Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton are torching Milwaukee’s defense, with both players combining for 45 points and making plays in key moments. Siakam’s clutch three in Game 2 silenced a furious Bucks rally and showed Indiana’s composure under pressure.
Indiana’s ball movement and ability to attack off the dribble have exposed Milwaukee’s weak spots on defense. The Pacers’ pace has been tough to match, and their +3 playoff win streak over the Bucks is a testament to that success. However, heading into Milwaukee will be a new test—Indiana was less effective on the road during the regular season, and the Bucks will be desperate.
To stay within the number or go up 3-0, the Pacers must maintain their offensive tempo and continue to hit timely threes while avoiding foul trouble and lapses in transition defense.
Prediction
Milwaukee’s backs are against the wall, but they’re heading into Game 3 with momentum on offense and now have Lillard back in rhythm. At home, expect a sharper defensive effort and more intensity across the board. The Pacers have been excellent, but this is a tough spot to stay hot.
Pick: Bucks -5.5
Prediction: Milwaukee 120, Indiana 113
Lean: Over 230.0 – With both teams shooting well and pushing pace, another high-scoring game looks likely.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
