Indiana (3-1) at New York (1-3)
- When: May 29 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY, USA
- TV: TNT
Pacers vs. Knicks – Game 5 Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: New York -4.0 | Total: 223.5
Indiana Pacers Outlook
Tyrese Haliburton isn’t just leading, he’s launching Indiana toward history. After pulling off a video game stat line (32 points, 15 assists, 12 rebounds, 0 turnovers) in Game 4, the Pacers now hold a commanding 3-1 lead. Haliburton didn’t just shine, he rewrote postseason records while torching the Knicks from deep and in transition.
The Pacers have turned the floor into a racetrack, outscoring New York 65-23 on the fast break this series. They’re not just winning, they’re outrunning and outgunning the Knicks in nearly every facet.
Pascal Siakam has been the perfect co-pilot, dropping another 30-point game to keep New York on their heels. And just when the Knicks thought they had the rotation figured out, Bennedict Mathurin popped for 20 points in 12 minutes like a microwave off the bench.
Despite some injury clouds hanging over Aaron Nesmith (ankle), Indiana has won six straight road playoff games, proving they thrive in chaos, which MSG will surely deliver.
Pacers Prop Picks:
Tyrese Haliburton Over 25.5 Points – He’s locked in and has had his way with New York’s defense all series.
Pascal Siakam Over 6.5 Rebounds – His inside presence continues to create second chances and control tempo.
New York Knicks Outlook
The Knicks are battered, bruised, and now one game from elimination and they’re facing it without guarantees that Karl-Anthony Towns will be at full strength. Towns has re-aggravated his knee in back-to-back games and is officially questionable for Game 5.
Jalen Brunson continues to carry the load, averaging 33.3 points in the series, but his supporting cast has been riddled with inconsistency and giveaways. The Knicks have turned it over 60 times in four games, gifting Indiana free run-outs and momentum-swinging buckets.
If they’re going to extend the series, they’ll need to slow the pace, cut the sloppy passes, and hope MSG magic reawakens the offense.
Knicks Prop Picks:
Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 3PM – Volume will be up again, especially if Towns is limited or out.
Donte DiVincenzo Over 14.5 Points – When New York plays at home, he tends to show up with energy and open looks.
Game 5 Prediction and Final Score
Indiana’s pace and poise are overwhelming the Knicks. Even in one of basketball’s toughest environments, the Pacers are thriving. Unless New York plays their cleanest game of the postseason and gets a healthy KAT, it’s hard to see them holding off the inevitable.
Spread: Indiana +140
Toral: Over 223.5
Final Score Prediction: Indiana 116, New York 109
Indiana punches their ticket to the NBA Finals for the first time in 25 years.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
