Indiana (2-2) at Oklahoma City (2-2)
- When: Jun 8 2025, 8:30 PM
- Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA
- TV: ABC
Pacers vs. Thunder – NBA Finals Game 5 Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Odds: Oklahoma City -9.5 | Total: 224.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Outlook
The Thunder return home for Game 5 of the NBA Finals with the series tied 2-2 and the momentum firmly in their corner. Oklahoma City closed out Game 4 in dominating fashion, going on a 12-1 run in the final three minutes to secure a 111-104 win. One of the driving forces behind their surge has been Alex Caruso, whose impact in the Finals has far surpassed his regular-season role. After logging limited minutes all season, Caruso has stepped up with leadership, defense, and scoring, averaging 14.8 points and 2.5 steals per game in the series. He’s become a clutch closer, even without starting, and his Finals experience is showing.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to lead the way with his all-around brilliance, and the Thunder, favored by 9.5, will look to ride their depth and defense to within one game of a championship.
Thunder Prop Picks:
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 6.5 Assists – His playmaking late in games has been critical.
Alex Caruso Over 1.5 Steals – He’s been a defensive pest all series long.
Indiana Pacers Breakdown
Indiana heads into hostile territory needing to bounce back quickly after letting Game 4 slip through their fingers. They had a golden opportunity to go up 3-1 but faltered in crunch time. Tyrese Haliburton, who has been the engine for the Pacers all postseason, acknowledged the need to reset fast and avoid the loss turning into a trend. Indiana hasn’t faced a tied series in these playoffs until now, making Game 5 their biggest test yet.
Veteran Pascal Siakam brings vital championship experience and has taken on more leadership responsibilities—both on and off the floor. But for the Pacers to pull off the upset, they’ll need to keep composure in a loud road environment and find ways to finish strong in the fourth quarter, something they lacked in the previous game.
Pacers Prop Picks:
Tyrese Haliburton Over 2.5 Threes – He’ll need to be aggressive from deep to keep them in it.
Pascal Siakam Over 18.5 Points – The veteran’s scoring is a must if they want to steal Game 5.
Game 5 Prediction and Final Score
Oklahoma City enters as the -9.5 favorite with the total set at 224.5. Given how the Thunder executed down the stretch in Game 4 and their past experience closing a 2-2 series (against Denver), it’s hard not to back them here. Indiana’s fight isn’t in question, but on the road, in this atmosphere, the edge clearly leans toward OKC.
Spread: Thunder -9.5
Toral: Under 224.5
Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City 117, Indiana 106
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
