Minnesota (1-3) at Oklahoma City (3-1)
- When: May 28 2025, 8:30 PM
- Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA
- TV: ESPN
Timberwolves vs. Thunder – Game 5 Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Odds: Oklahoma City -8.0 | Total: 220.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown
The Thunder are one win away from their first NBA Finals appearance in over a decade and enter Game 5 as 8-point favorites with the total set at 220.5. Despite the temptation to look ahead, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander insists the team remains locked in. OKC bounced back from a 42-point drubbing in Game 3 by edging out Minnesota in a thrilling 128-126 road win.
The Thunder’s core trio Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, and Chet Holmgren exploded for 95 points combined, showing just how dangerous they can be when clicking. Head coach Mark Daigneault continues to preach the importance of staying grounded and focused on the moment, especially against a desperate opponent.
Prop Picks (Thunder):
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Over 32.5 Points: SGA is thriving under playoff pressure and should continue to lead the charge offensively.
Chet Holmgren – Over 7.5 Rebounds: Holmgren’s length is a problem for Minnesota, and he’ll likely crash the glass with urgency in a close-out game.
Minnesota Timberwolves Breakdown
Facing elimination for the first time this postseason, Minnesota must regroup quickly. Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle struggled in Game 4, combining for just 21 points on 6-of-20 shooting. That kind of output simply won’t cut it, especially against a surging OKC squad.
Coach Chris Finch knows adjustments are needed expect more off-ball movement and increased pace to get Edwards downhill and attacking the paint. Randle also needs to be more than a decoy; Minnesota’s survival depends on its stars playing like stars.
Prop Picks (Timberwolves):
Anthony Edwards – Over 5.5 Assists: He’s drawing attention and finding open teammates, a good spot for assist value.
Julius Randle – Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made: If he’s going to help space the floor, he’ll need to knock down shots from deep.
Game 5 Prediction and Final Score
With momentum and home-court advantage, Oklahoma City is in a great position to finish the job. Expect another high-energy performance and a potential double-digit win to seal the West. The Timberwolves have the tools to keep it competitive, but without a dramatic turnaround from their top guns, they’re likely headed home.
Spread: Thunder -8.0
Toral: Over 220.5
Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City 117, Minnesota 105
OKC covers the spread and books a long-awaited return to the NBA Finals.
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
