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New York (12-7) at Golden State (12-7)
- When: Jun 28 2026, 7:00 PM
- Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
- TV: ESPN
New York vs Golden State Preview & Prediction
Spread: Golden State -1.5
Moneyline: Golden State (-120)
Total: 164.0
The WNBA schedule doesn’t get much tougher than this. The Golden State Valkyries welcome the New York Liberty to San Francisco as slight 1.5-point favorites, with the total set at 164.0. These clubs already met once this season, and Golden State stunned New York with an impressive road victory. The Liberty now have revenge on their minds, while the Valkyries look to prove that the first meeting was no fluke.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The Liberty enter Sunday’s matchup at 12-7 after dropping two of their last three games during a demanding four-game road trip. Most recently, New York fell 99-88 to Seattle despite another competitive offensive performance. Defensive consistency has become the team’s biggest concern, particularly after allowing Golden State to dominate from beyond the arc in their first meeting.
That earlier 87-70 defeat was one of New York’s most disappointing performances of the season. The Valkyries buried perimeter shots throughout the contest, finishing with a massive edge from three-point range while keeping the Liberty offense out of rhythm.
The good news is Sabrina Ionescu is fully back in the lineup. After battling back and foot injuries earlier this season, she has now appeared in six consecutive games and continues to regain top form. During New York’s lone victory on the current road trip, Ionescu recorded a double-double with 16 points and 10 rebounds against Las Vegas.
Breanna Stewart continues to be the foundation of New York’s championship aspirations. Her ability to score at all three levels while defending multiple positions gives the Liberty a matchup advantage almost every night. If New York hopes to split this road trip, Stewart will likely need another dominant performance.
Liberty Player Prop Pick: Breanna Stewart Over 17.5 Points
Stewart remains New York’s most dependable offensive option. Facing a physical Golden State defense, expect the Liberty to rely heavily on her scoring ability throughout all four quarters.
Golden State Valkyries Betting Preview
Golden State has quietly become one of the WNBA’s biggest surprises. Sitting at 12-7, the expansion franchise continues to exceed expectations while surviving one of the league’s most difficult stretches of scheduling.
The Valkyries have already won three of their last five games during a brutal run against elite opponents, defeating Dallas and sweeping two straight games from Atlanta while suffering competitive losses to Minnesota and Las Vegas.
Confidence continues to build throughout the roster.
Gabby Williams has developed into the heartbeat of Golden State’s offense, consistently creating opportunities while contributing on both ends of the floor. Her versatility has made the Valkyries extremely difficult to defend, especially when paired with their efficient perimeter shooting.
Defensively, veteran center Kiah Stokes delivered one of the finest performances of her career during Friday’s 78-75 victory over Atlanta, finishing with 13 points and an incredible seven blocked shots. Her rim protection completely changed the game and highlighted the defensive identity Golden State has embraced under first-year head coach Natalie Nakase.
Playing at home once again gives the Valkyries another opportunity to dictate tempo and force opponents into uncomfortable half-court possessions.
Valkyries Player Prop Pick: Gabby Williams Over 15.5 Points
Williams has become Golden State’s primary offensive catalyst. With her confidence growing and home-court momentum behind her, she projects for another productive scoring performance.
WNBA Final Score & Expert Prediction
This projects as one of Sunday’s most competitive WNBA matchups. New York certainly has revenge motivation after being thoroughly outplayed in the first meeting, but Golden State has only improved since that victory. The Valkyries continue defending at a high level, protecting home court, and finding timely scoring from multiple contributors.
The Liberty possess championship talent, but Golden State’s confidence, defensive intensity, and home environment provide a slight edge.
Final Score: Valkyries 83, Liberty 79
Lean: Golden State Valkyries -1.5
Total: Under 164.0
- WNBA Playoffs Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
