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San Antonio (2-1) at Minnesota (1-2)
- When: May 10 2026, 7:30 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: NBC/Peacock
San Antonio vs Minnesota Preview & Prediction
Spread: San Antonio -5.0
Moneyline: San Antonio (-200)
Total: 218.0
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The Spurs are watching Victor Wembanyama turn into a postseason monster right in front of everyone. At only 22 years old, the San Antonio superstar is already dominating playoff games in ways only Hall of Fame big men have managed before him.
Game 3 was another reminder of how terrifying his ceiling really is. Wembanyama exploded for 39 points, 15 rebounds, and five blocked shots while shooting 13-for-18 from the field in San Antonio’s 115-108 victory. He controlled the paint offensively and defensively, then stretched Minnesota out by knocking down three triples.
The Spurs finally snapped their long losing streak in Minneapolis because Wembanyama completely changed the game. His rim protection forced Minnesota into rushed shots and awkward possessions throughout the night. Even when he was not blocking attempts, his presence altered everything around the basket.
San Antonio’s supporting cast also benefited from the attention he draws. The spacing improved, transition opportunities opened up, and Minnesota struggled to defend secondary scorers once defensive help collapsed toward Wembanyama.
The scary part for the Timberwolves is that the Spurs still believe they have another level to reach. San Antonio played with confidence and physicality in Game 3, and now they have a chance to grab full control of the series.
Spurs Player Prop Pick: Victor Wembanyama Over 25.5 Points
Wembanyama is dominating Minnesota’s interior defense and carrying San Antonio’s offense with elite efficiency and unstoppable paint scoring.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
Minnesota finally got a superstar-level performance from Anthony Edwards, but it still was not enough to even the series. Edwards looked far more explosive after dealing with his knee injury earlier in the playoffs, finishing with 32 points, 14 rebounds, and six assists while logging more than 40 minutes.
That aggressive version of Edwards is exactly what Minnesota needs moving forward. In the first two games of the series, his minutes were restricted and the offense lacked rhythm. Friday was different. Edwards attacked the basket consistently, pushed the pace, and created quality looks for teammates.
The problem was the Timberwolves could not capitalize on enough of those opportunities. Minnesota shot just 38.4 percent from the field, and several players struggled badly against San Antonio’s interior defense. Jaden McDaniels shot 5-for-22, while Julius Randle made only three field goals all game.
A lot of those struggles came directly from Wembanyama’s impact near the rim. Minnesota had trouble finishing inside and constantly looked uncomfortable attacking the paint. The Timberwolves need better perimeter shooting and quicker ball movement if they want to break down San Antonio’s length.
Edwards is still capable of carrying this team offensively, especially back at home, but Minnesota’s role players must provide more efficient scoring support or this series could quickly slip away.
Timberwolves Player Prop Pick: Anthony Edwards Over 24.5 Points
Edwards finally looks healthy again and Minnesota will rely heavily on his scoring in this must-win playoff matchup.
NBA Final Score & Expert Prediction
San Antonio looks like the more complete team right now, and Wembanyama is clearly the biggest difference-maker in the series. Minnesota may keep this competitive early behind Edwards, but the Spurs’ defensive length and interior dominance continue creating major matchup problems.
The total of 218.0 feels slightly high considering how much defensive pressure San Antonio is generating around the rim. Minnesota’s inconsistent shooting also makes it difficult to fully trust a high-scoring game script.
Expect another strong performance from Wembanyama as the Spurs move one step closer to the Western Conference Finals.
Final Score: Spurs 112, Timberwolves 103
Lean: San Antonio -5.0
Total: Under 218.0
- NBA Playoffs Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
