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Fritz vs Bellucci US Open Preview, Odds and Free Pick

Fritz brings elite hard-court form as Bellucci looks to turn lefty pressure into an upset.

(Photo by Getty Images) Taylor Fritz
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Fritz vs Bellucci US Open Matchup

Matchup: (9) Taylor Fritz vs (95) Mattia Bellucci
When:  Sep 3 2026, at 1:00 PM – approximately
Tournament:  US Open
Stage:  Round of 64
Venue: Arthur Ashe Stadium
Location: New York City, New York

Tennis Match Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Game Spread

Taylor Fritz   -7.0 (-115)
Mattia Bellucci   7.0 (-115)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Moneyline

Taylor Fritz   -1000
Mattia Bellucci   +625

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Total

Over   33.5 (-115)
Under   33.5 (-115)

Go to the Prediction here
(Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!)

Fritz vs Bellucci ATP Tennis Preview

Taylor Fritz enters his US Open second-round matchup with Mattia Bellucci as the clear betting favorite after cruising past Darwin Blanch in straight sets. The No. 9 seed owns elite hard-court form, a Washington title and a dominant 70.6% service-point win rate on the surface this season.

Bellucci also advanced comfortably, but this is a major jump in competition. The Italian owns just four Top-50 wins in 2026 and trails the H2H 0-1 after losing to Fritz in Stuttgart. His left-handed angles can create problems, but Fritz’s serve, shot quality and proven New York pedigree make him the stronger betting side.

Fritz vs Bellucci Matchups Props

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Game Spread

Taylor Fritz – S1   -1.5 (-210)
Mattia Bellucci – S1   1.5 (+160)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Moneyline

Taylor Fritz – S1   -425
Mattia Bellucci – S1   +285

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Total

Over – S1   10.5 (+240)
Under – S1   10.5 (-335)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Match Specials

Fritz To Win & Over 31.5 Total Games   +120
Fritz To Win & Under 31.5 Total Games   EVEN
Bellucci To Win & Over 44.5 Total Games   +1100
Bellucci To Win & Under 44.5 Total Games   +1100
Fritz To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2   +6000
Fritz To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4   +1800
Fritz To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6   +15000
Fritz To Win Every Set 7-6   +45000
Bellucci To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2   +200000
Bellucci To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4   +55000
Bellucci To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6   +100000
Bellucci To Win Every Set 7-6   +200000
Fritz To Win His First 2 Service Games To 0 or 15   +175
Bellucci To Win His First 2 Service Games To 0 or 15   +475
Both Players Opening Service Games To Go To Deuce   +1600
Both Players To Face A Break Point In Their Opening Service Game   +900
Match To Go To A Final Set Tie Break   +1800
Fritz To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1, 6-2, 6-3 or 6-4   +300
Bellucci To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1, 6-2, 6-3 or 6-4   +25000

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Alternate Total Games

Over   32.5 (-130)
Under   32.5 (EVEN)
Over   33.0 (-120)
Under   33.0 (-110)
Over   34.0 (-110)
Under   34.0 (-120)
Over   34.5 (EVEN)
Under   34.5 (-130)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Alternate Total Games

Over – S1   8.5 (-360)
Under – S1   8.5 (+255)
Over – S1   12.5 (+350)
Under – S1   12.5 (-550)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Total Games O/U – Mattia Bellucci

Over   14.0 (-110)
Under   14.0 (-120)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Total Games O/U – Taylor Fritz

Over   19.5 (-115)
Under   19.5 (-115)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Total Games O/U

Over – S1   9.5 (EVEN)
Under – S1   9.5 (-130)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Alternate Game Spread

Taylor Fritz   -5.5 (-210)
Mattia Bellucci   5.5 (+160)
Taylor Fritz   -6.0 (-185)
Mattia Bellucci   6.0 (+140)
Taylor Fritz   -6.5 (-150)
Mattia Bellucci   6.5 (+115)
Taylor Fritz   -7.5 (+120)
Mattia Bellucci   7.5 (-155)
Taylor Fritz   -8.0 (+150)
Mattia Bellucci   8.0 (-200)
Taylor Fritz   -8.5 (+160)
Mattia Bellucci   8.5 (-210)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Alternate Game Spread

Taylor Fritz – S1   1.5 (-650)
Mattia Bellucci – S1   -1.5 (+400)
Taylor Fritz – S1   -3.5 (+290)
Mattia Bellucci – S1   3.5 (-435)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Set Betting

Taylor Fritz 3 – 0   -139
Taylor Fritz 3 – 1   +250
Taylor Fritz 3 – 2   +625
Mattia Bellucci 3 – 0   +2300
Mattia Bellucci 3 – 1   +1600
Mattia Bellucci 3 – 2   +1400

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Set Spread

Taylor Fritz   -2.5 (-125)
Mattia Bellucci   2.5 (-105)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Alternate Set Spread

Taylor Fritz   -1.5 (-400)
Mattia Bellucci   1.5 (+275)
Taylor Fritz   1.5 (-2000)
Mattia Bellucci   -1.5 (+900)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Total Sets

Over   3.5 (+105)
Under   3.5 (-135)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Alternate Total Sets

Over   4.5 (+425)
Under   4.5 (-700)

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Set Correct Score

Taylor Fritz – 6 – 0 – S1   +2800
Taylor Fritz – 6 – 1 – S1   +600
Taylor Fritz – 6 – 2 – S1   +675
Taylor Fritz – 6 – 3 – S1   +225
Taylor Fritz – 6 – 4 – S1   +675
Taylor Fritz – 7 – 5 – S1   +1200
Taylor Fritz – 7 – 6 – S1   +575
Mattia Bellucci – 6 – 0 – S1   +12500
Mattia Bellucci – 6 – 1 – S1   +10000
Mattia Bellucci – 6 – 2 – S1   +3300
Mattia Bellucci – 6 – 3 – S1   +2800
Mattia Bellucci – 6 – 4 – S1   +875
Mattia Bellucci – 7 – 5 – S1   +3300
Mattia Bellucci – 7 – 6 – S1   +1200

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
1st Set Correct Score – Any Player

6-0   +2200
6-1   +550
6-2   +600
6-3   +185
6-4   +375
7-5   +900
7-6   +400

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
1st Set Correct Score Groups

Taylor Fritz 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2   +260
Taylor Fritz 6-3 or 6-4   +140
Taylor Fritz 7-5 or 7-6   +400
Mattia Bellucci 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2   +2500
Mattia Bellucci 6-3 or 6-4   +650
Mattia Bellucci 7-5 or 7-6   +850

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Tiebreak In Set

Yes – S1   +320
No – S1   -485

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
To Lose 1st Set & Win The Match

Taylor Fritz   +500
Mattia Bellucci   +1600

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
To Win 1st Set & Win The Match

Taylor Fritz   -325
Mattia Bellucci   +800

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
To Win & Both Players To Win A Set

Taylor Fritz   +165
Mattia Bellucci   +700

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Will there be a tie-break in the match?

Yes   +105
No   -135

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Total Match Tie Breaks

Over 1.5   +500
Under 1.5   -900
Over 2.5   +1400

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Correct Score After 2 Games

Taylor Fritz 2-0   +240
Mattia Bellucci 2-0   +1100
Draw 1-1   -275

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Correct Score After 4 Games

Taylor Fritz 4-0   +900
Taylor Fritz 3-1   +165
Mattia Bellucci 4-0   +5000
Mattia Bellucci 3-1   +800
Draw 2-2   -110

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Correct Score After 6 Games

Taylor Fritz 6-0   +3000
Taylor Fritz 5-1   +500
Taylor Fritz 4-2   +150
Mattia Bellucci 6-0   +15000
Mattia Bellucci 5-1   +3300
Mattia Bellucci 4-2   +700
Draw 3-3   +140

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Lead After 4 Games

Taylor Fritz   +125
Mattia Bellucci   +750
Tie   -110

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Lead After 6 Games

Taylor Fritz   -120
Mattia Bellucci   +650
Tie   +140

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Odd/Even Total Games

Even   +120
Odd   -145

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Taylor Fritz – 1st Service Game

To Hold Serve   -2000
To Be Broken   +900

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Taylor Fritz – 1st Service Game Score

Hold to Love   +225
Hold to 15   +200
Hold to 30   +300
Hold to 40   +450
Broken to Love   +6600
Broken to 15   +2800
Broken to 30   +1800
Broken to 40   +2500

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Taylor Fritz – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points

Taylor Fritz 30-0   -125
15-15   +120
Mattia Bellucci 0-30   +900

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Taylor Fritz – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point

Yes   +350
No   -550

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Mattia Bellucci – 1st Service Game

To Hold Serve   -300
To Be Broken   +220

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Mattia Bellucci – 1st Service Game Score

Hold to Love   +550
Hold to 15   +325
Hold to 30   +325
Hold to 40   +350
Broken to Love   +2500
Broken to 15   +1100
Broken to 30   +750
Broken to 40   +800

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Mattia Bellucci – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points

Mattia Bellucci 30-0   +150
15-15   -110
Taylor Fritz 0-30   +450

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Mattia Bellucci – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point

Yes   +125
No   -165

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
First Service Break

Taylor Fritz   -300
Mattia Bellucci   +220

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Will Mattia Bellucci Win At Least One Set?

Yes   +110
No   -145

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci
Will Taylor Fritz Win At Least One Set?

Yes   -5000
No   +1400

US Open ATP Tennis Predictions

Tennis Pick: Fritz To Win & Over 31.5 Total Games (+120)
A $100 Bet on that Props will return $220

Tennis Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook

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