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Paul vs Alcaraz US Open Matchup
Matchup: (20) Tommy Paul vs (2) Carlos Alcaraz
When: Sep 6 2026, at 2:00 PM – approximately
Tournament: US Open
Stage: Round of 16
Venue: Arthur Ashe Stadium
Location: New York City, New York
Tennis Match Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Game Spread
Tommy Paul 5.5 (-110)
Carlos Alcaraz -5.5 (-120)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Moneyline
Tommy Paul +350
Carlos Alcaraz -450
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total
Over 36.0 (-115)
Under 36.0 (-115)
Go to the Prediction here
(Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!)
Paul vs Alcaraz ATP Tennis Preview
Carlos Alcaraz faces Tommy Paul in the US Open Round of 16, with the defending champion entering fresher after dropping just one set through three rounds. Alcaraz is riding a 17-match Grand Slam winning streak and just cruised past Yibing Wu in straight sets.
Paul survived a five-set battle with Alexander Bublik, so fatigue could become a major factor if this goes long. The American will have Arthur Ashe Stadium behind him, but Alcaraz’s speed, variety and ability to turn defense into offense create a difficult matchup. The Alcaraz moneyline is expensive, making the game spread or set markets more attractive.
Paul vs Alcaraz Matchups Props
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Game Spread
Tommy Paul – S1 1.5 (+125)
Carlos Alcaraz – S1 -1.5 (-165)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Moneyline
Tommy Paul – S1 +190
Carlos Alcaraz – S1 -260
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total
Over – S1 8.5 (-325)
Under – S1 8.5 (+230)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Match Specials
Paul To Win & Over 43.5 Total Games +700
Paul To Win & Under 43.5 Total Games +650
Alcaraz To Win & Over 35.5 Total Games +125
Alcaraz To Win & Under 35.5 Total Games +130
Paul To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +200000
Paul To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4 +21500
Paul To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6 +55000
Paul To Win Every Set 7-6 +125000
Alcaraz To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +14000
Alcaraz To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4 +2200
Alcaraz To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6 +15000
Alcaraz To Win Every Set 7-6 +45000
Match To Go To A Final Set Tie Break +1400
Paul To Break Serve In The 1st Set -115
Alcaraz To Break Serve In The 1st Set -400
Both Players To Break Serve In The 1st Set +155
Paul To Break Serve In Sets 1 & 2 +235
Alcaraz To Break Serve In Sets 1 & 2 -180
Paul To Win A Point In Each of His First 4 Return Games +110
Alcaraz To Win A Point In Each of His First 4 Return Games -160
Over 19.5 Total Games In Set 1 & 2 Combined -105
Under 19.5 Total Games In Set 1 & 2 Combined -125
Paul To Win His 1st Service Game, 1st Set & Match +550
Alcaraz To Win His 1st Service Game, 1st Set & Match -170
Paul To Break Serve 1st, Win 1st Set & Match +650
Alcaraz To Break Serve 1st, Win 1st Set & Match -150
Paul To Win & A Tie Break In the Match +550
Paul To Win & No Tie Break In the Match +1000
Alcaraz To Win & A Tie Break In the Match +125
Alcaraz To Win & No Tie Break In the Match +130
Paul To Win & A Tie Break In the 1st Set +1500
Alcaraz To Win & A Tie Break In the 1st Set +475
Paul To Lead 3-1 After 4 Games In Sets 1 & 2 +3500
Paul To Lead 4-2 After 6 Games In Sets 1 & 2 +2800
Alcaraz To Lead 3-1 After 4 Games In Sets 1 & 2 +800
Alcaraz To Lead 4-2 After 6 Games In Sets 1 & 2 +700
Paul To Win 1st Set 7-6 & Win The Match +2000
Alcaraz To Win 1st Set 7-6 & Win The Match +675
Paul To Win 1st Set 6-0 & Win The Match +15000
Alcaraz To Win 1st Set 6-0 & Win The Match +3500
Paul To Win The First 8 Points of The Match +30000
Alcaraz To Win The First 8 Points of The Match +15000
Each of The 1st Two Sets To End In A Tie Break +2200
1-1 After 2 Games In Each Of The 1st 2 Sets -135
2-2 After 4 Games In Each Of The 1st 2 Sets +220
3-3 After 6 Games In Each Of The 1st 2 Sets +375
Both Players To Win A Set & No Tie Break In The Match +325
Both Players To Win A Set & A Tie Break In The Match +135
Both Players To Win A Set & 2+ Tie Breaks In The Match +500
Over 8.5 Games In Each of Sets 1 & 2 -180
Over 9.5 Games In Each of Sets 1 & 2 +195
Over 10.5 Games In Each of Sets 1 & 2 +950
Under 8.5 Games In Each of Sets 1 & 2 +1300
Under 9.5 Games In Each of Sets 1 & 2 +300
Under 10.5 Games In Each of Sets 1 & 2 -130
No Breaks of Serve In Set 1 +650
No Breaks of Serve In Set 2 +650
Paul To Win & 2+ Tie Breaks In The Match +1400
Alcaraz To Win & 2+ Tie Breaks In The Match +425
Paul To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1, 6-2, 6-3 or 6-4 +8500
Alcaraz To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1, 6-2, 6-3 or 6-4 +550
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Total Games
Over 34.5 (-135)
Under 34.5 (+105)
Over 35.0 (-135)
Under 35.0 (+105)
Over 35.5 (-125)
Under 35.5 (-105)
Over 36.5 (-105)
Under 36.5 (-125)
Over 37.0 (EVEN)
Under 37.0 (-130)
Over 37.5 (+105)
Under 37.5 (-135)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Total Games
Over – S1 10.5 (+265)
Under – S1 10.5 (-385)
Over – S1 12.5 (+450)
Under – S1 12.5 (-750)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total Games O/U – Carlos Alcaraz
Over 20.0 (-115)
Under 20.0 (-115)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total Games O/U – Tommy Paul
Over 16.5 (-115)
Under 16.5 (-115)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total Games O/U
Over – S1 9.5 (-130)
Under – S1 9.5 (EVEN)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Game Spread
Tommy Paul 3.5 (+185)
Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 (-250)
Tommy Paul 4.5 (+125)
Carlos Alcaraz -4.5 (-165)
Tommy Paul 5.0 (+110)
Carlos Alcaraz -5.0 (-145)
Tommy Paul 6.0 (-135)
Carlos Alcaraz -6.0 (+105)
Tommy Paul 6.5 (-165)
Carlos Alcaraz -6.5 (+125)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Game Spread
Tommy Paul – S1 -1.5 (+230)
Carlos Alcaraz – S1 1.5 (-325)
Tommy Paul – S1 -3.5 (+900)
Carlos Alcaraz – S1 3.5 (-2000)
Tommy Paul – S1 3.5 (-500)
Carlos Alcaraz – S1 -3.5 (+325)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Set Betting
Tommy Paul 3 – 0 +1400
Tommy Paul 3 – 1 +1100
Tommy Paul 3 – 2 +900
Carlos Alcaraz 3 – 0 +116
Carlos Alcaraz 3 – 1 +245
Carlos Alcaraz 3 – 2 +500
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Set Betting – Two Chances
Tommy Paul 3-0 or 3-1 +525
Tommy Paul 3-1 or 3-2 +375
Carlos Alcaraz 3-0 or 3-1 -250
Carlos Alcaraz 3-1 or 3-2 +105
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Set Spread
Tommy Paul 2.5 (-185)
Carlos Alcaraz -2.5 (+140)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Set Spread
Tommy Paul 1.5 (+160)
Carlos Alcaraz -1.5 (-210)
Tommy Paul -1.5 (+600)
Carlos Alcaraz 1.5 (-1100)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total Sets
Over 3.5 (-155)
Under 3.5 (+120)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Alternate Total Sets
Over 4.5 (+260)
Under 4.5 (-375)
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Set Correct Score
Tommy Paul – 6 – 0 – S1 +10000
Tommy Paul – 6 – 1 – S1 +4000
Tommy Paul – 6 – 2 – S1 +2500
Tommy Paul – 6 – 3 – S1 +1000
Tommy Paul – 6 – 4 – S1 +1100
Tommy Paul – 7 – 5 – S1 +2500
Tommy Paul – 7 – 6 – S1 +1100
Carlos Alcaraz – 6 – 0 – S1 +3000
Carlos Alcaraz – 6 – 1 – S1 +1100
Carlos Alcaraz – 6 – 2 – S1 +550
Carlos Alcaraz – 6 – 3 – S1 +445
Carlos Alcaraz – 6 – 4 – S1 +345
Carlos Alcaraz – 7 – 5 – S1 +1200
Carlos Alcaraz – 7 – 6 – S1 +650
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
1st Set Correct Score – Any Player
6-0 +2800
6-1 +1000
6-2 +500
6-3 +275
6-4 +225
7-5 +800
7-6 +350
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
1st Set Correct Score Groups
Tommy Paul 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +1400
Tommy Paul 6-3 or 6-4 +450
Tommy Paul 7-5 or 7-6 +650
Carlos Alcaraz 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +375
Carlos Alcaraz 6-3 or 6-4 +165
Carlos Alcaraz 7-5 or 7-6 +400
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
2nd Set Correct Score Groups
Tommy Paul 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +1400
Tommy Paul 6-3 or 6-4 +450
Tommy Paul 7-5 or 7-6 +650
Carlos Alcaraz 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 +375
Carlos Alcaraz 6-3 or 6-4 +165
Carlos Alcaraz 7-5 or 7-6 +400
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Set Exacta – Best of 5
Tommy Paul WWW +1400
Tommy Paul LWWW +1000
Tommy Paul WLWW +1000
Tommy Paul WWLW +1000
Tommy Paul LLWWW +4500
Tommy Paul LWLWW +4500
Tommy Paul LWWLW +4500
Tommy Paul WLLWW +4500
Tommy Paul WLWLW +4500
Tommy Paul WWLLW +4500
Carlos Alcaraz WWW +110
Carlos Alcaraz LWWW +400
Carlos Alcaraz WLWW +400
Carlos Alcaraz WWLW +400
Carlos Alcaraz LLWWW +2800
Carlos Alcaraz LWLWW +2800
Carlos Alcaraz LWWLW +2800
Carlos Alcaraz WLLWW +2800
Carlos Alcaraz WLWLW +2800
Carlos Alcaraz WWLLW +2800
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tiebreak In Set
Yes – S1 +340
No – S1 -525
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
To Lose 1st Set & Win The Match
Tommy Paul +1000
Carlos Alcaraz +375
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
To Win 1st Set & Win The Match
Tommy Paul +500
Carlos Alcaraz -200
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
To Win & Both Players To Win A Set
Tommy Paul +400
Carlos Alcaraz +110
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Will there be a tie-break in the match?
Yes -105
No -125
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total Match Tie Breaks
Over 1.5 +400
Under 1.5 -700
Over 2.5 +1400
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Correct Score After 2 Games
Tommy Paul 2-0 +700
Carlos Alcaraz 2-0 +275
Draw 1-1 -250
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Correct Score After 4 Games
Tommy Paul 4-0 +4000
Tommy Paul 3-1 +500
Carlos Alcaraz 4-0 +1200
Carlos Alcaraz 3-1 +200
Draw 2-2 -110
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Correct Score After 6 Games
Tommy Paul 6-0 +10000
Tommy Paul 5-1 +2000
Tommy Paul 4-2 +450
Carlos Alcaraz 6-0 +3500
Carlos Alcaraz 5-1 +650
Carlos Alcaraz 4-2 +185
Draw 3-3 +135
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Race To 2 Games
Tommy Paul EVEN
Carlos Alcaraz -130
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Race To 3 Games
Tommy Paul +110
Carlos Alcaraz -145
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Race To 4 Games
Tommy Paul +135
Carlos Alcaraz -175
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Race To 5 Games
Tommy Paul +150
Carlos Alcaraz -200
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Lead After 4 Games
Tommy Paul +450
Carlos Alcaraz +160
Tie -110
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Lead After 6 Games
Tommy Paul +375
Carlos Alcaraz +110
Tie +135
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Odd/Even Total Games
Even -115
Odd -105
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tommy Paul – 1st Service Game
To Hold Serve -325
To Be Broken +230
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tommy Paul – 1st Service Game Score
Hold to Love +500
Hold to 15 +300
Hold to 30 +300
Hold to 40 +350
Broken to Love +2800
Broken to 15 +1200
Broken to 30 +800
Broken to 40 +850
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tommy Paul – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points
Tommy Paul 30-0 +150
15-15 -110
Carlos Alcaraz 0-30 +450
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tommy Paul – 1st Service Game – To Serve An Ace
Yes +200
No -275
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tommy Paul – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point
Yes +135
No -175
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tommy Paul – 1st Service Game – To Deuce
Yes +240
No -335
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tommy Paul – 1st Service Game – Total Points
4 Points +450
5 Points +225
6 Points +200
7+ Points +240
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz – 1st Service Game
To Hold Serve -800
To Be Broken +475
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz – 1st Service Game Score
Hold to Love +325
Hold to 15 +225
Hold to 30 +300
Hold to 40 +375
Broken to Love +4000
Broken to 15 +2000
Broken to 30 +1200
Broken to 40 +1600
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points
Carlos Alcaraz 30-0 EVEN
15-15 +110
Tommy Paul 0-30 +700
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz – 1st Service Game – To Serve An Ace
Yes +200
No -275
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point
Yes +250
No -350
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz – 1st Service Game – To Deuce
Yes +300
No -450
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz – 1st Service Game – Total Points
4 Points +300
5 Points +200
6 Points +225
7+ Points +300
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Most Aces
Tommy Paul -110
Carlos Alcaraz +110
Draw +800
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Most Double Faults
Tommy Paul +150
Draw +600
Carlos Alcaraz -125
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
First Service Break
Tommy Paul +175
Carlos Alcaraz -230
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Will Carlos Alcaraz Win At Least One Set?
Yes -3300
No +1200
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Will Tommy Paul Win At Least One Set?
Yes -185
No +140
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tommy Paul To Win Two Sets
Yes +150
No -200
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz To Win Two Sets
Yes -1100
No +600
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Tommy Paul To Win From Behind
Yes +900
No -2000
Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz To Win From Behind
Yes +325
No -500
- Tennis Futures odds & props
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US Open ATP Tennis Predictions
Tennis Pick: Alternate Total Games –
Under 36.5 (-125)
A $125 Bet on that Props will return $225
Tennis Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook
