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As the 2023 MLB season reaches its final stretch, the race for the home run leader is heating up. Shohei Ohtani of the California Angels currently leads with 44 home runs, closely followed by Matt Olson of the Atlanta Braves with 43.
However, both players are currently experiencing a drought in home run production. Even Pete Alonso of the New York Mets, who was expected to compete for the lead, hasn’t hit a home run in eight games.
All three players have hit no more than 15 home runs since July 1, raising questions about the low production. Are opposing teams pitching around them as we approach the October playoffs?
In this article, we will examine the reasons behind their slump and analyze the betting odds for the 2023 MLB home run leader. Bet on MLB games with the help of our expert picks on our baseball predictions page.
Matt Olson: -210
Current Total: 43
Since joining the Atlanta Braves in 2022, Matt Olson has been a dominant force, surpassing his previous season’s best numbers in 2023. With 32 games remaining, Olson has a shot at reaching 50 home runs.
Despite his recent home run drought, Olson has shown his hitting prowess with nine hits in his last four games. Considering his swing and current form, it is likely that he will start hitting home runs again soon.
However, at -210 odds, investing in Olson as the home run leader may be risky. Let’s explore other options before making a decision.
Shohei Ohtani: +190
Current Total: 44
Shohei Ohtani is a unique player, excelling both as a pitcher and an offensive threat. As a result, he is a strong contender for the American League MVP title.
Unfortunately, Ohtani recently suffered an elbow injury that forced him to stop pitching for the rest of the regular season. With the Angels unlikely to make the playoffs, they may rest Ohtani to protect him for future seasons.
These factors contribute to the attractive +190 odds for Ohtani to finish the season as the home run leader. However, the risk lies in the potential aggravation of his injury.
Pete Alonso: +800
Current Total: 39
The 2023 MLB season has been a disappointment for the New York Mets, and Pete Alonso’s performance reflects that. Although he has hit 39 home runs, his batting average is at a career-worst .221.
Considering his struggles this season, it’s difficult to trust Alonso as a reliable contender for the home run leader. His mental state may also impact his performance on the field.
Mookie Betts: +15000
Current Total: 35
Mookie Betts is currently in great form, making him the favorite to win the National League MVP title. However, the gap between his home run total and the current leaders is too significant to close in the remaining games.
While Betts has been hitting .417 over his last 30 games, his odds as the home run leader are not favorable. He will likely cool down from his impressive run.
Pick: Matt Olson: -210
Placing a heavy investment on a future bet carries its risks. In the case of the home run leader, the competition is primarily between Olson and Ohtani.
Ohtani’s injury and the Angels’ lack of playoff chances make Olson a more favorable option. With his team still in contention for home-field advantage, Olson has a greater incentive to continue performing well.
Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
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