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Prediction and MLB Picks on Brewers vs Pirates

The Brewers and the Pirates will meet on the field at PNC Park in a battle of division rivals.

(Photo by Getty Images) Mitch Keller
Event: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Thursday, September 26, 2024

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

PNC Park is the venue for the match between the Pittsburgh Pirates (73-84) and the Milwaukee Brewers (90-67) on Thursday night. The anticipated starting pitchers are Aaron Civale and Mitch Keller.

The Milwaukee Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, ranking them 5th in MLB. They have scored 757 runs with a team on-base percentage of .326. The Brewers have hit 241 doubles, 174 home runs, and have a total of 723 RBI’s and 1,320 base hits this season, with a batting average of .249. Their slugging rate is .404 with 1,406 strikeouts and 581 walks.

The Brewers’ pitching staff has an ERA of 3.68 (5th in MLB) with 1,327 strikeouts. They have allowed 193 home runs and 628 runs. Milwaukee pitchers have walked 481 batters with a FIP of 4.22. They have given up 1,260 hits and 574 earned runs with a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and a WHIP of 1.24.

Milwaukee’s bullpen has 503 appearances this season, allowing 209 inherited runners to score. They have 51 saves but have blown 19 save opportunities. The bullpen has a save percentage of 72.9% and 79 holds this year. They have appeared in high-leverage situations 194 times.

The Brewers have made 4,206 putouts, 1,301 assists, and 85 errors this season. Their fielding rate is .985 with 110 double plays converted, and they have turned 70.8% of balls in play into outs.

Civale has pitched 630 innings with 572 strikeouts in his career. He has a FIP of 4.01 and has faced 2,614 batters. His ERA is 4.07 with a WHIP of 1.206, allowing 591 hits and 169 walks.

The Pirates have a .371 slugging percentage and are scoring 4.10 runs per game. They have hit 230 doubles, drawn 467 walks, and scored 644 runs. Pittsburgh has hit 151 home runs with 622 RBI’s, striking out 1,455 times and recording 1,256 hits. Their OBP is .302 with a team batting average of .236.

Pittsburgh has a WHIP of 1.311 and a team FIP of 4.05. They have surrendered 1,332 hits and 721 runs this season, with an ERA of 4.18. The Pirates have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 and have conceded 163 home runs.

Pittsburgh’s relievers have inherited 33.3% of runners, coming into high-leverage situations 166 times and with runners on base 127 times. They have 84 holds and 29 blown saves in 154 save opportunities, converting 40 saves.

In defense, the Pirates have a fielding percentage of .984 with 136 double plays and 4,184 putouts. Their defensive efficiency is 68.7% with 1,332 assists and 89 errors.

Keller has a career record of 36-49 with a 4.59 ERA, 9.5 hits per nine innings, and 2.77 K/BB ratio. He has faced 3,047 batters, allowing 355 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.412 and FIP of 4.5. Keller has given up 737 hits and struck out 681 batters in 696 innings.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup?

Free Prediction: Milwaukee +104

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