Tampa Bay (4-2) at Texas (5-2)
- When: Apr 4 2025, 8:05 PM
- Where: Globe Life Field, Arlington
- Where to watch: Apple TV+
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
Moneyline: Texas -132 | Total: 8.5
Texas Rangers Outlook
The defending champions haven’t exploded offensively to start 2025, but they’ve been finding ways to win — most recently pulling off back-to-back 1-0 victories against Cincinnati. That marked the first time in franchise history Texas has posted consecutive 1-0 wins, a sign their pitching is holding strong even while the bats are lagging.
With only 18 runs scored through their first six games, the Rangers’ offense ranks among the lowest in the American League. However, their contact has been solid — just 44 strikeouts so far — and timely enough to go 4-2 overall. Veteran outfielder Kevin Pillar has stepped in with steady production, giving the team depth and flexibility while Evan Carter develops in Triple-A.
Right-hander Tyler Mahle (0-0, 5.40 ERA) gets the start in Game 1 of the three-game series. He’s still building up his workload after returning from Tommy John surgery. In his 2025 debut, Mahle allowed one run in under two innings against Boston. While this outing marks his first career start against Tampa Bay, Mahle’s upside makes him a name to watch in the coming weeks.
Player Prop to Watch: Kevin Pillar Over 0.5 Total Bases
Pillar has quietly produced when called upon, and with Tampa’s righty-heavy pitching, he’s in line for more plate appearances in this one.
Tampa Bay Rays Outlook
The Rays’ pitching staff has carried the weight through the early part of the season, boasting a league-best 2.00 team ERA and allowing only six walks — the fewest of any club. While the offense has been more consistent than explosive, the Rays sit 4-2 after a strong homestand.
Zack Littell (0-1, 1.50 ERA) gets the ball Friday night. He’s coming off a solid six-inning outing where he allowed just one run and struck out seven against the Rockies but was tagged with a tough-luck loss. Littell has struggled historically against Texas, posting a 5.74 ERA across eight appearances. However, with the Rangers still finding their swing, he has an opportunity to flip the script.
Player Prop to Watch: Zack Littell Over 4.5 Strikeouts
Littell looked sharp in his opener and could capitalize on a Texas lineup that, while disciplined, hasn’t put up big run totals yet.
Betting Prediction
Expect a tightly contested opener between two teams off to strong pitching starts. The Rangers may have the edge on paper, but Tampa’s strike-throwing staff and low walk rate give them the tools to grind this one out — especially with Texas still trying to wake up the bats. Mahle’s pitch count and Tampa’s ability to put the ball in play could catch up to the Rangers in the later innings.
Final Score Prediction: Rays 4, Rangers 3
Best Bet: Rays ML (+110)
Lean: Under 8.5 (-110)
This one should be a low-scoring duel with a playoff-like pace early in the season. Tampa’s elite control and Texas’ quiet bats point to a nail-biter.
- MLB Odds source: MYBookie Sportsbook
