St Louis (9-11) at NY Mets (13-7)
- When: Apr 19 2025, 4:05 PM
- Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
- Where to watch: FOX
MLB Preview & Expert Predictions: Cardinals vs. Mets
Moneyline: Mets -180 | Total: 8.5
New York Mets Betting Outlook
The Mets are off to a red-hot start this season, leading the NL East with a 13-7 record and showing the same grit that carried them deep into the postseason last year. Friday night’s 5-4 walk-off win over St. Louis was their fifth comeback victory of the season — highlighted by Francisco Lindor’s dramatic solo homer in the bottom of the ninth, his 250th career blast.
New York continues to showcase late-game magic, a carryover from 2024 when they posted 41 come-from-behind wins and 11 walk-off victories. Kodai Senga will take the mound Saturday with momentum on his side after throwing seven scoreless innings against Oakland in his last outing. Senga enters with a 2-1 record and an elite 1.06 ERA. He’s also held the Cardinals in check before, owning a 3.29 ERA over two previous starts.
Player Prop Picks (NYM):
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases – Lindor is heating up and riding the wave of his walk-off moment.
Kodai Senga Over 5.5 Strikeouts – He’s coming off a dominant start and faces a Cardinals lineup prone to Ks.
Brandon Nimmo to Record a Hit – He’s batting over .300 and has quietly hit safely in five of his last six.
Prediction: Mets 6, Cardinals 3
The Mets are thriving in late-game pressure and have the better arm on the mound. Expect Senga to control the tempo early and the Mets’ bats to deliver late once again.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Outlook
The Cardinals are hanging around .500, but they’ve been stung by walk-off losses — three of them already this season, including Friday’s heartbreaker. St. Louis has had a lead in the ninth or later in all three walk-off defeats, and that kind of trend suggests a bullpen that’s vulnerable under pressure.
Despite the loss, Brendan Donovan remains scorching hot. His ninth-inning homer extended his hitting streak to 14 games, and he leads the National League with a .380 average. Donovan’s consistency at the plate has been one of the few bright spots for a team that’s struggled to close games.
Matthew Liberatore will start Saturday, coming off a strong six-inning shutout over the Phillies. However, his track record against the Mets is shaky — he owns a 7.00 ERA in three career appearances against them and could be in trouble again if New York’s offense gets rolling early.
Player Prop Picks (STL):
Brendan Donovan Over 1.5 Hits – Ride the streak. Donovan has multiple hits in six of his last eight games.
Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 RBI – With Donovan getting on base, Goldy should get his chances.
Liberatore Under 16.5 Outs Recorded – The Mets offense may not let him get past the fifth.
Prediction: Mets 6, Cardinals 3
The Cardinals are battling, but their late-inning woes persist. With Senga dealing and the Mets surging, look for New York to cover the moneyline with confidence.
Best Bet: Mets RL -1.5 (+120)
Lean: Over 8.5 if the bullpens are tested early.
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
