Arizona (15-13) at NY Mets (20-9)
- When: Apr 29 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
- Where to watch: MLB.tv
MLB Betting Preview: Diamondbacks vs. Mets
Moneyline: Mets -144 | Total: 8.5
New York Mets Betting Outlook
The Mets return home with momentum after erupting for a 19-5 win over the Nationals to salvage a four-game split. Brandon Nimmo etched his name in franchise history with a staggering nine-RBI performance, tying the Mets’ single-game record. That kind of offensive explosion can give a clubhouse a major lift — and bettors should take notice.
David Peterson (1-1, 3.29 ERA) will get the nod Tuesday, hoping to build on a solid outing against the Phillies in which he allowed two runs over 5 1/3 innings. While Peterson hasn’t found much success against Arizona historically (5.21 ERA in five starts), the Mets’ bats are hot, and their bullpen has held steady in key moments. They’ve also become the first team in the majors to notch 20 wins, and with a lineup finding its groove, they look poised to protect home field.
The key for New York will be early run support to allow Peterson to work comfortably. Nimmo staying hot and contributions from Alonso and Lindor could help them cruise past the -144 moneyline.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Outlook
The Diamondbacks head to Citi Field after a six-game homestand that easily could’ve flipped into a winning record. They narrowly avoided a sweep against Atlanta on Sunday behind a 6-4 win that saw Corbin Carroll triple twice and the bullpen lock it down late. Arizona has shown it can score in bunches, putting up six or more runs in 14 games already this year.
Eduardo Rodriguez (1-2, 4.40 ERA) takes the mound coming off a decent showing against Tampa Bay, although he did give up four runs in 6 2/3 innings. He has a solid track record against the Mets (1-0, 3.57 ERA), which gives Arizona a shot to keep it close.
Offensively, the Diamondbacks are dangerous. If Carroll stays aggressive and Suarez provides power in the middle of the lineup, they’ll challenge Peterson and pressure the Mets bullpen.
But Arizona’s bullpen, while effective Sunday, hasn’t been consistently reliable, especially in extra innings or tight spots — something that might hurt them late if the game stays close.
Final Prediction & Betting Recommendation
With both starters capable but not dominant and two offenses capable of big innings, the total of 8.5 looks reachable. The Mets’ confidence following their 19-run outburst and Peterson’s home-field edge give New York the nod here.
Final Score Prediction: Mets 6, Diamondbacks 4
Best Bets: Mets ML (-144)
Total: Over 8.5 (-115)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
