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Lynx vs Mercury WNBA Basketball Odds & Expert Parlay Picks

The conference rival Minnesota and Phoenix are set to renew hostilities when they meet at PHX Arena.

(Photo by Getty Images) Satou Sabally

Minnesota (5-0) at Phoenix (4-1)

  • When: May 30 2025, 10:00 PM
  • Where: PHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ, USA
  • TV: ION

Minnesota vs. Phoenix – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props

Spread: Minnesota (-4.5) | Total: 158.5

Minnesota Lynx: Road-Tested and Rolling

The Lynx remain the WNBA’s only undefeated squad at 5-0, and they’re hitting the road with momentum after a close 82-77 win over Seattle. Four of their next five contests will be away from home, but this team is battle-tested.

Napheesa Collier continues her MVP-level run, leading the league in scoring (26.8 PPG) while stuffing the stat sheet across the board 7.8 rebounds, 2.4 steals, and 1.4 blocks per game. Even in a “quiet” outing Tuesday, she snagged 10 rebounds and provided critical defensive presence.

Veteran sniper Kayla McBride made her season debut Tuesday after a personal leave, and she didn’t miss a beat dropping 15 points on 50% shooting from deep. Her return instantly stretches defenses and boosts Minnesota’s spacing.

Prop Pick – Kayla McBride Over 2.5 Made Threes

Phoenix Mercury: High-Energy and Home Cooking

Phoenix is finding its groove, now 4-1 and capping a three-game home stretch Friday. After grinding out a 68-62 win over Washington, they followed up with a shootout win over Chicago, 94-89.

Alyssa Thomas, now in her first season with the Mercury, has been everything they hoped for. She’s averaging 15.2 points, 8.0 assists, and 7.6 boards, and just posted a season-best 15 assists against the Sky, jumping into the top 12 all-time in WNBA assists.

Satou Sabally continues to deliver offensively, scoring 20+ points in three of five games, and Phoenix rookie Kitija Laksa surprised with 18 points last game a promising sign for bench depth.

Prop Pick – Satou Sabally Over 19.5 Points

Expert Prediction

Minnesota’s balance and defense give them the edge, especially with Collier in top form and McBride back. Phoenix will put up a fight, but the Lynx remain perfect.

Best Bet: Minnesota -4.5
ToralUnder 158.5
Final Score Prediction:
 Minnesota 81, Phoenix 76

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