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Braves vs Mets MLB Baseball Odds & Expert Picks

Atlanta and NY Mets will meet on the field at Citi Field in a battle of division rivals.

(Photo by Getty Images) Griffin Canning

Atlanta (37-42) at NY Mets (47-34)

  • When: Jun 26 2025, 7:10 PM
  • Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
  • Where to watch: FDSSO

Braves vs Mets – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props

Moneyline: NY Mets -112
Total: 8.5
RunLine: NY Mets -1.5 (+159)

New York Mets

Why they can cash
Juan Soto’s bat is white-hot again, and that matters when the rest of the lineup has struggled to string runs together. Still, Wednesday’s seven-run outburst hints at a club ready to break out against a thin Atlanta rotation missing Chris Sale. Griffin Canning isn’t an ace, but his 7-3 record and 3.91 ERA give New York a clear edge on the mound tonight. If he can hand the ball to the back end of the bullpen with a lead, the Mets should level this series.

Mets player props

Juan Soto – Over 1.5 Total Bases – Soto has slugged .762 since May 30 and is barreling everything. Ride the heat wave.
Pete Alonso – To Record 1+ RBI – With Soto forcing pitchers into the zone, Alonso should see men on base and one or two mistakes he can hammer.

Atlanta Braves

Why they can spoil the party
Grant Holmes has been quietly solid (3.71 ERA) and blanked Miami over 5⅔ last time out. Atlanta’s lineup still punishes mistakes, and the Mets’ pen has been shaky when over-exposed. If Holmes can get through five with minimal damage, the Braves’ bats have enough thump to chase Canning and steal this one.

Braves player props

Matt Olson – To Hit a Home Run – Olson owns a career .550 slugging mark versus righties like Canning; the short porch in right is tailor-made for his power stroke.
Austin Riley – Over 1.5 Total Bases – Riley’s hard-hit rate tops 50 percent, and he’s particularly dangerous against pitchers who rely on four-seamers up in the zone (Canning’s bread-and-butter).

Betting Insight & Prediction

Mets -112 – Canning’s floor is higher than Holmes’, and Soto looks unstoppable. Total 8.5: Over – Neither bullpen inspires confidence, and both lineups have elite sluggers poised to pounce once starters exit. A 5-4 game feels right.

Final Score Prediction: Mets 5, Braves 4
Lean: NY Mets ML (-112)
Total: 
Over 8.5 (-120) 

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