NY Mets (48-36) at Pirates (34-50)
- When: Jun 29 2025, 1:35 PM
- Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
- Where to watch: SportsNet PT
Mets vs. Pirates – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: NY Mets -161 | Total: 9.0
New York Mets Preview
The Mets enter Sunday’s matchup in full tailspin mode, having dropped 12 of their last 15 games and back-to-back beatdowns at the hands of the surging Pirates. Scoring has been scarce, New York has been held to two or fewer runs in seven of its last eight losses. The bullpen remains unreliable, and rotation depth has taken a hit with Griffin Canning’s season-ending Achilles injury.
Frankie Montas (0-0, 0.00 ERA), recently activated off the IL, takes the ball hoping to restore order. His return outing was sharp: five shutout innings with five strikeouts versus the Braves. He’s only faced the Pirates once in his career, a solid six-inning, one-run performance. The Mets are counting on him to hold it down and avoid an embarrassing sweep.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
After struggling to generate offense for much of the season, the Pirates have flipped the switch, putting up nine runs in each of the first two games of this series. Their lineup looks energized, with timely hits coming up and down the order. If the Pirates can complete the sweep, it would mark only their second of the season and a huge momentum boost.
Rookie Mike Burrows (1-2, 4.45 ERA) gets the nod on just three days’ rest after tossing 2.1 scoreless innings in relief midweek. While the short turnaround could be a concern, his last appearance was efficient and showed flashes of promise. He has yet to face the Mets in his young career.
Prediction & Betting Picks
Montas can deliver a quality outing, but if the offense remains ice-cold and the bullpen leaks late, New York could fall flat again. If Burrows can give the Bucs 4-5 solid innings, Pittsburgh’s hot bats and home crowd might carry them over the finish line again.
Pittsburgh’s offense stays hot, and the Mets’ slide continues as Montas’ effort isn’t enough to compensate for a sputtering lineup and unreliable bullpen.
Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Mets 3
Pick: Pittsburgh ML (+136)
Total: Under 9.0 (-101)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!