Las Vegas (7-8) at Phoenix (12-4)
- When: Jun 29 2025, 6:00 PM
- Where: PHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ, USA
- TV: NBA TV
Las Vegas vs. Phoenix – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Phoenix -6.0 | Total: 167.0
Las Vegas Aces Outlook
The defending champs are in unfamiliar territory, under .500 and scrambling to rediscover their identity. After a frustrating 94-83 home loss to Washington, the Aces (7-8) find themselves searching for answers and consistency. A’ja Wilson once again led the team with 22 points but skipped postgame interviews, a sign of the mounting tension. Las Vegas has shown flashes of brilliance, but coach Becky Hammon summed it up best: it’s been “greatness or disaster, nothing in between.”
Struggles on both ends have plagued this team, especially in the half-court. The Aces’ only prior matchup with Phoenix this season ended in a 76-70 home loss, a game where their offense sputtered late. If Las Vegas wants to hang with one of the hottest teams in the league, they’ll need a better showing from Jackie Young and a disciplined defensive approach.
Player Prop to Watch (Aces):
Jackie Young – Over 15.5 Points – She’ll need to step up with Phoenix packing the paint to slow down Wilson.
Phoenix Mercury Outlook
The Mercury (12-4) are flat-out rolling, winners of six straight and fresh off back-to-back wins over title contenders. Friday’s 106-91 home blowout over the Liberty sent a strong message: this team is not just riding momentum, they’re legitimate threats. That win also pushed Phoenix past New York in the standings for the W’s second-best record behind Minnesota.
Phoenix’s trio of Satou Sabally, Alyssa Thomas, and Kahleah Copper is finally firing on all cylinders. Sabally dropped 25 points Friday, Thomas nearly posted a triple-double, and Copper looked strong in her home debut after knee surgery. With depth, energy, and chemistry finally syncing, Phoenix looks like the real deal, especially at home, where they’ve been dominant.
Player Prop to Watch (Mercury):
Satou Sabally – Over 7.5 Rebounds – She’s doing it all right now and should feast on the glass again against this inconsistent Vegas frontcourt.
Final Score Prediction:
Phoenix is on fire and has already beaten Vegas once this season. With confidence high, better chemistry, and home-court advantage, expect them to stay hot.
Best Bet: Phoenix -6.0
Toral: Over 167.0
Final Score Prediction: Phoenix 88, Las Vegas 81
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
