- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Detroit (65-47) at Philadelphia (62-48)
- When: Aug 3 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
- Where to watch: ESPN
Tigers vs Phillies – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Philadelphia -182
Total: 8.0
RunLine: Philadelphia -1.5 (+110)
Detroit Tigers Betting Breakdown
Detroit (underdog in this one) sends veteran righty Charlie Morton to the mound for his Tigers debut. The 41-year-old was picked up right at the trade deadline and will be reunited with manager A.J. Hinch, his skipper from Houston’s 2017 title run. Morton’s early-season disaster with Baltimore (0-7, 9.38 ERA) looked like the end of the road, but the man flipped the script hard.
Since late April, Morton has quietly gone 7-1 with a 3.88 ERA across his last 11 starts, reclaiming swing-and-miss form and bringing the heat back into the mid-90s. He’s far from washed and Detroit hopes his veteran poise can stabilize a rotation in playoff pursuit.
Morton’s career against Philly isn’t flattering (5-7, 4.81 ERA), but this is a different version, sharp curveball, better command, and a ton to prove. Backed by a bullpen now anchored by Kyle Finnegan, Detroit has a shot to steal this series.
Tigers Player Prop Pick:
Riley Greene Over 1.5 Total Bases
Greene’s been barreling the ball well and could capitalize on Sanchez’s aggressive fastball usage.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Breakdown
The Phillies are leaning on Cristopher Sanchez (9-3, 2.55 ERA), who’s been one of their most consistent arms this season. His streak of nine straight quality starts ended last time out against the White Sox, but he still pitched into the seventh and showed resilience after a rough middle stretch.
Before that, Sanchez threw a complete-game gem vs. Boston, and his overall form, especially at home has been sharp. He hasn’t faced Detroit yet, but with his plus changeup and strong command, he’ll be tough to square up for a Tigers lineup that doesn’t handle lefties particularly well.
Philadelphia’s offense has cooled a bit, but Manny Machado and Luis Arraez have been relentless. Combine that with Jhoan Duran solidifying the closer role, and the Phils remain a dangerous, complete unit at home.
Phillies Player Prop Pick:
Cristopher Sanchez Over 5.5 Strikeouts
Detroit’s swing rate and lefty struggles play right into his game plan.
Prediction & Betting Insight
This one’s got pitcher’s duel written all over it, Morton’s in form, Sanchez is steady, and both bullpens have locked things down when needed. Expect a tight one with key execution late.
Final Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Tigers 2
Lean: Philadelphia -1.5 (+110)
Total: Under 8.0 (-103)
Philly edges it behind Sanchez and timely bullpen work. Detroit makes it a grind, but the home team finishes the job. Slight lean to the under 8.0.
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
