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Phoenix (16-11) at Chicago (7-20)
- When: Aug 3 2025, 6:00 PM
- Where: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL, USA
- TV: The U
Phoenix vs Chicago – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Phoenix -13.5 | Total: 166.0
Phoenix Mercury Betting Breakdown
The Mercury (16-11) are favored by 13.5 points and not just because Chicago’s roster looks like it’s been through a blender. Phoenix has taken both prior meetings this season, including a 107-point explosion at Wintrust Arena. But don’t let the spread fool you: Phoenix is struggling too.
They’ve lost 4 of 5 since the All-Star break and looked completely out of sync in a 95-72 blowout loss to Atlanta on Friday. Outside of Kahleah Copper (19 points) and Alyssa Thomas (12), nobody showed up offensively. Top scorer Satou Sabally was benched after a lackluster first half, and Coach Nate Tibbetts didn’t mince words saying she “didn’t bring the energy.”
Phoenix has dropped three of four on this five-game road trip, and the team feels like it’s in survival mode. That said, the Mercury have talent, depth, and motivation to bounce back, especially against a depleted Sky roster.
Mercury Player Prop Pick: Kahleah Copper Over 15.5 Points – She’s consistently been the offensive anchor and should feast against Chicago’s soft perimeter defense.
Chicago Sky Betting Breakdown
The Sky (7-20) are in freefall, losers of seven straight and 0-5 since the break. Friday’s 73-66 loss to the Valkyries was their “closest” effort in weeks, they led after three quarters and kept it tight until the final two minutes, then ran out of gas. Again.
Injuries have completely gutted Chicago. Angel Reese, Ariel Atkins, Hailey Van Lith, and Courtney Vandersloot were all unavailable Friday. Only eight players suited up. The bright spot? Kamilla Cardoso keeps dominating inside. She’s now posted five straight double-doubles, showing poise and grit even as the losses pile up.
Coach Tyler Marsh liked what he saw from recent addition Sevgi Uzun, who brought some stability to the offense in her debut.
Sky Player Prop Pick: Kamilla Cardoso Over 10.5 Rebounds – She’s a walking double-double and will be forced to clean up a lot again with Chicago short-handed.
Betting Odds & Prediction
Despite their recent struggles, Phoenix simply has too much firepower and experience. Chicago’s injury list looks like a medical journal, and depth is a major issue. Still, the Sky might show some fight at home, enough to keep it respectable, but not enough to win. Phoenix covers late, and the total just edges under in a game where Chicago hangs around but runs out of legs again.
Best Bet: Phoenix -13.5
Toral: Under 166.0
Final Score Prediction: Phoenix 89, Chicago 74
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
