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Cincinnati (60-55) at Pittsburgh (49-66)
- When: Aug 7 2025, 6:40 PM
- Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
- Where to watch: MLB Network
White Sox vs Mariners – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -175
Total: 7.0
RunLine: Pittsburgh -1.5 (+131)
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Breakdown
The Pirates are leaning heavily on ace Paul Skenes to open this four-game set strong. With a commanding 2.02 ERA and opponents hitting just .187 off him, Skenes is a frontrunner for the NL Cy Young and bettors are watching closely. His dominance against the Reds last season (3-0, 0.53 ERA in 17 IP) only boosts his appeal.
Pittsburgh’s bullpen has been pushed to its limits, logging nearly 17 innings over the past three days. A deep outing from Skenes would provide much-needed relief and bettors can expect him to deliver with his power fastball and precision control.
Top Prop Pick (PIT): Paul Skenes Over 7.5 Strikeouts – He’s fanned 25 Reds in just 17 career innings. Expect a K-heavy night.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Breakdown
Cincinnati is coming off a tough 6-1 loss to the Cubs, missing out on a potential sweep. They now turn to Brady Singer, who’s been heating up post-All-Star break. He’s put together back-to-back gems, including 10 strikeouts over six shutout innings against Atlanta.
Singer has had mixed results against Pittsburgh this season (1-1, 4.50 ERA in two starts), but he’s trending in the right direction at the right time. The Reds, fighting for a wild-card spot, need another clutch performance, but they’re up against a top-tier arm in Skenes.
Top Prop Pick (CIN): Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Stolen Bases – He’s a disruptor on the basepaths and could test Skenes early.
Prediction & Betting Insight
Pittsburgh has the edge with Skenes on the mound and an offense that should bounce back against a pitcher they’ve seen twice. The Reds are scrappy but face a tall task against the Cy Young favorite. Look for the Pirates to cover the runline in a low-scoring opener.
Final Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Reds 2
Lean: Pittsburgh -1.5 (+131)
Total: Under 7.0 (-106)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
