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Chi. Cubs (67-50) at Toronto (69-50)
- When: Aug 12 2025, 7:07 PM
- Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto
- Where to watch: CTV Sportsnet Toronto
Cubs vs. Blue Jays – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: Toronto -123
Spread: Toronto -1.5 (+163)
Total: 9.0
Chicago Cubs Betting Outlook
The Cubs limp into Toronto with a cold bat, averaging just 4.1 runs per game since the All-Star break, a noticeable drop from their pre-break 5.3 average. Milwaukee’s surge in the NL Central has made every loss sting more, and dropping two of three in St. Louis didn’t help.
One bright spot? Rookie third baseman Matt Shaw. After blasting a two-run homer on Sunday, he’s up to seven homers in just 63 plate appearances since the break, slashing an impressive .328/.349/.770. His turnaround from a rough first half has been all about confidence and intent at the plate.
Chicago hands the ball to Ben Brown (5-7, 6.04 ERA), who’s never faced the Blue Jays. His inconsistency this season is a concern against a Toronto offense that can pile runs quickly at home.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Outlook
Fresh off a 4-2 road trip, the Jays return home with momentum after a dramatic 5-4 win over the Dodgers. Late-inning power from Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Addison Barger, and Ernie Clement saved them from a sweep, with Clement batting .424 in his last seven games.
Toronto used seven relievers Sunday after Eric Lauer lasted just three innings, but rookie Mason Fluharty closed it out with ice in his veins, fanning Shohei Ohtani with the bases loaded before retiring Mookie Betts.
Jose Berrios (8-4, 3.89 ERA) gets the start. While his career ERA vs. the Cubs sits at 6.20, his stuff can dominate if he’s sharp early. The Jays could also get Andres Gimenez back from injury, adding depth to the infield.
Prediction & Betting Angle
The Cubs’ offense has been streaky, and Brown’s struggles on the mound leave them vulnerable to Toronto’s late-inning firepower. If Berrios avoids the big mistake, the Jays should control this matchup.
Score Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Cubs 4
Pick: Toronto (-123)
Total: Over 9.0 (-114)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!