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Miami (57-62) at Cleveland (62-56)
- When: Aug 13 2025, 6:40 PM
- Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland
- Where to watch: CLEG
Cleveland Seeks Another Win as Miami’s Skid Keeps Growing
Moneyline: Cleveland (-128)
Runline: Cleveland -1.5 (+155)
Total: 8.0
Miami Marlins: Road Trip or Road Trap?
The Marlins have been on a four-game losing streak so long, their GPS is starting to reroute them back to 2023. Sitting at 57-62 and third in the NL East, Miami is looking for anything, a spark, a miracle, maybe even a rally parrot to snap out of this funk.
Eury Perez (4-3, 3.25 ERA) gets the unenviable task of facing a Cleveland team that’s hotter than a microwaved Hot Pocket. Perez’s WHIP is a tidy 1.01, which means he doesn’t hand out base runners like free samples, but lately Miami’s bullpen has been gift-wrapping runs for opponents like it’s Christmas in August.
If there’s one silver lining, it’s that Miami plays better when they don’t give up home runs, but with their current pitching, that’s like saying you win more poker hands when you don’t fold.
Cleveland Guardians: Protecting Home Turf
Cleveland is 62-56 and sitting second in the AL Central, and they’ve been downright stingy at Progressive Field with a 30-27 home mark. They’ve also got a bizarre stat going: they’re 31-11 in games where they don’t allow a homer. Translation, keep the ball in the yard, and the Guardians turn into the Avengers.
Gavin Williams (7-4, 3.17 ERA) takes the mound with 123 strikeouts this season, which means at least a few Marlins batters will be heading back to the dugout wondering if they forgot their bat at home.
Jose Ramirez is still the Guardians’ offensive spark plug, hitting .294 with 25 homers, and Kyle Manzardo has been hitting like he’s auditioning for a lead role in a “Moneyball 2” reboot.
Recent Trends: Hot vs. Not
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Guardians: 8-2 in their last 10, outscoring opponents by 11 runs.
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Marlins: 3-7 in their last 10, outscored by 17 runs, ERA north of 6.00 — yikes.
This is less “even matchup” and more “one team’s trying to win, the other’s wondering if the season’s still going.”
Prediction
Cleveland’s pitching edge plus Miami’s recent collapse makes the Guardians the better play on the runline at +155. If Miami wants to end this skid, they’ll need divine intervention or at least a few bloop hits.
Final Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Marlins 2
Bets Bet: Cleveland -1.5 (+155)
Total: Under 8.0 (-118)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
