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Padres vs Dodgers Betting Preview with Kershaw Spotlight

Padres visit Dodgers in rivalry matchup. Get odds, analysis, and score prediction for Friday night at Dodger Stadium.

(Photo by Getty Images) Clayton Kershaw
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San Diego (69-52) at LA Dodgers (68-53)

  • When: Aug 15 2025, 10:10 PM
  • Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
  • Where to watch: MLB Network

Padres vs Dodgers – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props

Moneyline: LA Dodgers -192
Total: 9.0
RunLine: LA Dodgers -1.5 (+100)

San Diego Padres Betting Outlook

The Padres enter Friday’s rivalry showdown sitting atop the NL West, a spot that seemed unlikely just a month ago. After winning 14 of their last 17 and bolstering the roster at the trade deadline, San Diego has gone from chasing to being chased. Their success has been fueled by consistent pitching, solid defense, and a surging offense that’s dictating games early.

The pitching plan hit a snag with Michael King landing on the IL, so right-hander Randy Vasquez (3-5, 3.93 ERA) will take the mound. While not as dominant as King, Vasquez has shown flashes of strong command when avoiding walks, but facing a potent Dodgers top order at Dodger Stadium will be a test.

Padres Prop Pick: Fernando Tatis Jr. to record 2+ total bases – He’s had success against Dodgers pitching and thrives in high-energy rivalry games.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Outlook

Despite being -192 moneyline favorites with a total of 9.0, the Dodgers limp into this series on a four-game skid, fresh off being swept by the Angels for the second time this season. Their bullpen has imploded repeatedly, surrendering late leads in four of the last five losses, and injuries have stripped them of depth.

Clayton Kershaw (6-2, 3.14 ERA) gets the ball, bringing a stellar 23-11 record with a 2.19 ERA in 47 career starts against San Diego. He’s allowed just one run over his last two starts, making him one of the few bright spots in an otherwise turbulent stretch. Offensively, Shohei Ohtani is red-hot, batting .422 with five homers in 12 games this month, while Mookie Betts has extended his hitting streak to eight games.

Dodgers Prop Pick: Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run – His current tear and the matchup make this a strong power spot.

MLB Prediction & Betting Angle

The Padres have momentum, but the Dodgers have Kershaw and home field, two big advantages in a rivalry with playoff implications. If L.A.’s bullpen doesn’t implode, they can even the division race.

Final Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Padres 3
Lean: LA Dodgers -1.5 (+100)
Total: 
Under 9.0 (+100) 

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