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Mets vs Mariners Betting Preview: Odds, Picks & Prediction

Expert Mets vs Mariners betting preview with odds, prediction, and picks for Sunday’s Little League Classic matchup.

(Photo by Getty Images) George Kirby
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Seattle (68-56) at NY Mets (65-58)

  • When: Aug 17 2025, 7:10 PM
  • Where: Journey Bank Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field, Williamsport, Pennsylvania
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Mariners vs Mets – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props

Moneyline: Seattle -128
Total: 8.5
RunLine: Seattle -1.5 (+130)

Mets vs Mariners Betting Preview

Seattle is favored at -128 on the moneyline, with the total set at 8.5 runs for Sunday’s Little League Classic showdown in Williamsport.

New York Mets Betting Outlook

The Mets finally got a spark after Nolan McLean’s electric MLB debut, tossing 5 1/3 scoreless innings with eight strikeouts in Saturday’s win. It was just their third victory in 17 games, but it kept them alive in the NL wild-card chase.

Clay Holmes (9-6, 3.71 ERA) takes the mound Sunday, though his history against Seattle isn’t promising. He’s winless against the Mariners and has a 4.73 ERA in 12 career appearances. New York’s offense will lean on Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, who both came through in clutch spots last night.

Mets Prop Pick: Pete Alonso to hit a home run. His power bat is always dangerous in spotlight games.

Seattle Mariners Betting Outlook

Seattle has cooled off, dropping three of their last four, despite being competitive in each loss. The Mariners now sit just 1.5 games back of Houston in the AL West and remain tied with Boston for the top Wild Card slot.

George Kirby (8-5, 3.71 ERA) gets the ball and enters off a dominant outing against Baltimore, where he spun seven scoreless innings. While he’s struggled in two previous starts against the Mets (5.14 ERA), Seattle trusts him to deliver in a game with playoff implications. Eugenio Suarez broke up Saturday’s shutout bid with a late homer, and Julio Rodríguez will be eager to bounce back after grounding into a costly double play with the bases loaded.

Mariners Prop Pick: Julio Rodríguez over 1.5 total bases. He’s too talented to stay quiet for long.

MLB Prediction & Betting Angle

Seattle’s pitching edge with Kirby, combined with their deeper lineup, should tilt the finale their way. The Mets had their spark with McLean, but Holmes on the hill is a tough sell.

Final Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Mets 3
Lean: Seattle (-128)
Total: 
Under 8.5 (-110) 

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