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Toronto (74-53) at Pittsburgh (53-74)
- When: Aug 20 2025, 12:35 PM
- Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
- Where to watch: SportsNet PT
Blue Jays vs. Pirates – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: Toronto -154
Spread: Toronto -1.5 (+110)
Total: 8.5
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Blue Jays enter the rubber match as -154 moneyline favorites, with the total sitting at 8.5 runs. Toronto regained its offensive groove on Tuesday with a 7-3 win, fueled by long balls from Alejandro Kirk and George Springer. Even without Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is expected to sit again with hamstring soreness, Toronto’s lineup has enough firepower to keep pressure on Pittsburgh.
On the mound, Chris Bassitt (11-6, 4.22 ERA) looks to steady himself. While his road numbers have been concerning, a 3-6 record and a 6.39 ERA away from Rogers Centre, Bassitt has historically dominated the Pirates. He’s a perfect 4-0 with a 2.10 ERA in five career starts against Pittsburgh, a trend that bettors will be eyeing closely. With Shane Bieber set to debut on Friday, this outing could be critical for Bassitt’s rotation security.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pirates turn to Johan Oviedo (0-0, 18.00 ERA), who is making just his second start of the season. His first outing earlier this month lasted only one inning, where he labored through 43 pitches and gave up two runs. Since then, he’s shown signs of progress in Triple-A, striking out 15 over 8 2/3 innings across two starts. Still, facing a deep Blue Jays lineup will be a tough test as he works back into major league form.
Oviedo’s history against Toronto hasn’t been kind either, as he sits at 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two prior starts. Pittsburgh’s offense will need to step up if they want to provide run support, but consistency at the plate has been an issue all season. Against a pitcher with a proven track record of success versus the Pirates, the matchup doesn’t tilt in their favor.
MLB Betting Outlook & Prediction
This game comes down to pitching reliability. Bassitt has been uneven on the road but owns complete control over Pittsburgh in his career, while Oviedo remains unproven at the MLB level after injury setbacks. With Toronto swinging the bats well and sitting atop the AL East, they should control the game from start to finish.
Score Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Pirates 3
Pick: Toronto -1.5 (+110)
Total: Over 8.5 (-105)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
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