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Mets vs Tigers Betting Preview, Odds and Prediction

Expert Mets vs Tigers betting breakdown with odds, moneyline, total and score prediction for Monday’s matchup.

(Photo by Getty Images) Charlie Morton
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NY Mets (73-64) at Detroit (80-58)

  • When: Sep 1 2025, 1:10 PM
  • Where: Comerica Park, Detroit
  • Where to watch: SNY

Mets vs. Tigers – Game Betting Preview & Prediction

Moneyline: NY Mets -120 
Spread: NY Mets -1.5 (+140)
Total: 8.5

New York Mets Preview

MyBookie Oddsmakers list New York as -120 moneyline favorites, with the total at 8.5 runs. The Mets limp into Detroit after a rough weekend at home against Miami, where their pitching staff surrendered a staggering 32 runs while dropping three of four games. Despite holding onto a wild-card spot, they’re slipping further behind Philadelphia in the NL East and desperately need stability on the mound.

Sean Manaea will get the ball for Monday’s opener. It’s been a bumpy return for the left-hander, who missed the first half of the year with injuries. His August was brutal, a 7.13 ERA across five start, though he finished on a relative high note, striking out eight Phillies while allowing just two runs in 4 2/3 innings in a game the Mets ultimately won. Manaea owns a career 3-2 record with a 3.35 ERA against Detroit, so history suggests he can manage the Tigers’ lineup.

For New York, the path to a bounce-back win is simple: keep runs off the board. With their rotation inconsistent, the Mets’ margin for error shrinks every night.

Detroit Tigers Preview

Detroit, meanwhile, comes into this series with momentum after taking two of three from Kansas City to strengthen their grip on first place in the AL Central. The Tigers have been one of baseball’s pleasant surprises, thriving on timely hitting and just enough pitching.

They’ll send veteran Charlie Morton to the mound. Acquired at the trade deadline, Morton has been hit-or-miss in his five Detroit starts. He looked sharp against Minnesota and Houston, but his last outing saw him give up five runs to Oakland in just five innings. Manager A.J. Hinch has urged Morton to lean more on his curveball, which remains his best weapon.

Morton has extensive history against the Mets, going 7-7 with a 3.75 ERA in 26 career starts. Matchups are key: Juan Soto has torched Morton in their past meetings, while Francisco Lindor has struggled mightily against him.

Betting Outlook & Prediction

This projects as a fairly even game between two inconsistent starters. Manaea is still working back to form, while Morton’s track record is steady but prone to lapses.

Given Detroit’s momentum and home-field advantage, they’re a dangerous underdog. Still, the Mets’ lineup, coupled with Manaea’s potential to rebound against a team he’s handled before, makes them the slight lean. The total feels spot-on, with both pitchers capable of giving up runs but also racking up strikeouts when they’re locked in.

Score Prediction: Mets 5, Tigers 4
Pick: NY Mets (-120)
Total: Over 8.5 (-120) 

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