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Tampa Bay vs Atlanta NFL Props & Picks on Baker Mayfield

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons will meet on the field at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

(Photo by Getty Images) Baker Mayfield
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Tampa Bay (0-0-0) at Atlanta (0-0-0)

  • When: Sep 7 2025, 1:00 PM
  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
  • Where to watch: FOX

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Moneyline

Tampa Bay Buccaneers   -110
Atlanta Falcons   -110

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Point Spread

Tampa Bay Buccaneers   1.0 (-120)
Atlanta Falcons   -1.0 (EVEN)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Total

Over   47.0 (-110)
Under   47.0 (-110)

Baker Mayfield NFL Preview & Props

Baker Mayfield enters Week 1 ready to make a statement for Tampa Bay. Coming off a strong finish last season, he’s got weapons around him and confidence in his arm. Against Atlanta, bettors should keep a close eye on how he pushes the tempo and attacks coverages in this divisional showdown.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Baker Mayfield (TB)   +700

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Who will Score 2 or more Touchdowns?

Baker Mayfield (TB)   +6600

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
To Score 3 or more Touchdowns.

Baker Mayfield (TB)   +25000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Total Passing Touchdowns – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   1.5 (-150)
Under   1.5 (+115)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Alternate Passing Touchdowns – Baker Mayfield (TB)

To Record 1+ Passing Touchdowns   -800
To Record 2+ Passing Touchdowns   -150
To Record 3+ Passing Touchdowns   +275
To Record 4+ Passing Touchdowns   +850

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Total Passing Attempts – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   32.5 (-150)
Under   32.5 (+115)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Total Completions – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   22.5 (-130)
Under   22.5 (EVEN)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Total Interceptions Thrown – Baker Mayfield

Over   0.5 (-110)
Under   0.5 (-120)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Total Passing Yards – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   242.5 (-125)
Under   242.5 (-105)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Alternate Passing Yards – Baker Mayfield (TB)

To Record 150+ Passing Yards   -1500
To Record 175+ Passing Yards   -650
To Record 200+ Passing Yards   -325
To Record 225+ Passing Yards   -180
To Record 250+ Passing Yards   -105
To Record 275+ Passing Yards   +175
To Record 300+ Passing Yards   +300
To Record 325+ Passing Yards   +550
To Record 350+ Passing Yards   +850

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Who will have more Passing Yards in the game?

Baker Mayfield (TB)   -145
Michael Penix Jr. (ATL)   +110

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Total Rush Attempts – Baker Mayfield

Over   3.5 (+105)
Under   3.5 (-135)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Longest Rushing Attempt – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   8.5 (-125)
Under   8.5 (-105)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Total Passing and Rushing Yards – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   262.5 (-115)
Under   262.5 (-115)

Baker Mayfield Statistics

Game P. TDs P. Yards INT Comp% Rating
17 41 4500 16 71.4 106.8

Baker Mayfield Past Results

W vs Score Yds Comp % Y/A TD/Int
Post WAS L 20-23 185 83.3 10.3 2/0
18 NO W 27-19 221 65.6 6.9 2/1
17 CAR W 48-14 359 84.4 11.2 5/0
16 DAL L 24-26 303 72.1 7.0 2/1
15 LAC W 40-17 288 81.5 10.7 4/1
14 LV W 28-13 295 62.1 10.2 3/2
13 CAR W 26-23 235 63.6 7.1 1/2
12 NYG W 30-7 294 80.0 9.8 0/0
10 SF L 20-23 116 62.1 4.0 1/0
9 KC L 24-30 200 74.2 6.5 2/0
8 ATL L 26-31 330 74.0 6.6 3/2
7 BAL L 31-41 370 68.9 8.2 3/2
6 NO W 51-27 325 66.7 9.0 4/3
5 ATL L 30-36 180 79.2 7.5 3/0
4 PHI W 33-16 347 63.8 7.4 2/0
3 DEN L 7-26 163 75.8 4.9 1/1
2 DET W 20-16 185 63.2 9.7 1/1
1 WAS W 37-20 289 80.0 9.6 4/0

NFL Player Props Picks & Predictions

Baker Mayfield faces an Atlanta defense that allowed multiple passing scores in several key games last season. With Tampa Bay’s weapons around him, his aggressive playstyle and willingness to attack downfield create prime opportunities for multiple touchdown passes.

Baker Mayfield Props Pick: Total Passing Touchdowns – Over 1.5 (-150)
A $150 Bet on that Props will return $250

2026 NCAA Men’s Championship

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