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Tampa Bay vs Houston NFL Props & Picks on Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield’s Buccaneers and the Texans will meet on the field at NRG Stadium.

(Photo by Getty Images) Baker Mayfield
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Tampa Bay (1-0-0) at Houston (0-1-0)

  • When: Sep 15 2025, 7:00 PM
  • Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
  • Where to watch: ABC/ESPN

Game Odds, Spread, Moneyline & Total

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Moneyline

Tampa Bay Buccaneers   +125
Houston Texans   -145

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Point Spread

Tampa Bay Buccaneers   2.5 (-105)
Houston Texans   -2.5 (-115)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Total

Over   42.5 (-105)
Under   42.5 (-115)

Baker Mayfield NFL Preview & Props

Baker Mayfield steps into Week 2 Monday Night Football looking to build on his late-game heroics from the opener. Leading Tampa Bay’s offense with confidence and chemistry, he’ll test Houston’s secondary under the national spotlight, showcasing his arm strength, poise, and veteran experience in a divisional-style primetime showdown.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Baker Mayfield (TB)   +825

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Who will Score 2 or more Touchdowns?

Baker Mayfield (TB)   +10000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
To Score 3 or more Touchdowns

Baker Mayfield (TB)   +12500

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Total Passing Touchdowns – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   1.5 (+105)
Under   1.5 (-135)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Alternate Passing Touchdowns – Baker Mayfield (TB)

To Record 1+ Passing Touchdowns   -475
To Record 2+ Passing Touchdowns   +115
To Record 3+ Passing Touchdowns   +450
To Record 4+ Passing Touchdowns   +1400

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Total Passing Attempts – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   32.5 (-110)
Under   32.5 (-120)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Total Completions – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   20.5 (-120)
Under   20.5 (-110)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Longest Pass Completion – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   35.5 (-115)
Under   35.5 (-115)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Total Interceptions Thrown – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   0.5 (-170)
Under   0.5 (+130)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Total Passing Yards – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   232.5 (-105)
Under   232.5 (-125)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Alternate Passing Yards – Baker Mayfield (TB)

To Record 150+ Passing Yards   -1200
To Record 175+ Passing Yards   -550
To Record 200+ Passing Yards   -275
To Record 225+ Passing Yards   -140
To Record 250+ Passing Yards   +130
To Record 275+ Passing Yards   +225
To Record 300+ Passing Yards   +400
To Record 325+ Passing Yards   +750
To Record 350+ Passing Yards   +1200

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Total Rush Attempts – Baker Mayfield

Over   3.5 (-135)
Under   3.5 (+105)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Longest Rushing Attempt – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   9.5 (-105)
Under   9.5 (-125)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Total Rushing Yards – Baker Mayfield (TB)

Over   16.5 (-120)
Under   16.5 (-110)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Houston Texans
Alternate Rushing Yards – Baker Mayfield (TB)

To Record 10+ Rushing Yards   -300
To Record 15+ Rushing Yards   -150
To Record 20+ Rushing Yards   +120
To Record 25+ Rushing Yards   +190
To Record 30+ Rushing Yards   +300
To Record 40+ Rushing Yards   +625
To Record 50+ Rushing Yards   +1200

Baker Mayfield Statistics

Game P. TDs P. Yards INT Comp% Rating
1 3 167 0 53.1 99.3

Baker Mayfield Past Results

W vs Score Yds Comp % Y/A TD/Int Rate
1 ATL W 23-20 167 53.1 5.2 3/0 99.3

Baker Mayfield – Last 3 seasons Statistics 

Passing
Year G Comp Att C % Yds Avg Lg TD Int Rate
24-25 17 407 570 71.4 4500 7.9 57 41 16 106.8
23-24 17 364 566 64.3 4044 7.1 75 28 10 94.6
22-23 4 82 129 63.6 850 6.6 39 4 2 86.4

Rushing/Fumbles
Year G Att Yds Avg TD Fum LOST
24-25 17 60 378 6.3 3 13 2
23-24 17 62 163 2.6 1 8 3
22-23 4 15 37 2.5 0 3 1

NFL Player Props Picks & Predictions

Baker Mayfield thrives in primetime spots, and Houston’s secondary showed vulnerability in Week 1. With reliable targets and increased red-zone opportunities, he’s positioned to connect for multiple scores. At +105 odds, the value on Over 1.5 passing touchdowns is compelling.

Baker Mayfield Props Pick: Total Passing Touchdowns – Over 1.5 (+105)
A $100 Bet on that Props will return $205

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