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Dallas (6-3-1) at Tampa Bay (4-4-2)
- When: Oct 30 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL, USA
- TV: TNT
Dallas vs Tampa Bay NHL Preview & Pick
Moneyline: Tampa Bay -155
Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5 (+163)
Total: 6.0
Dallas Stars Betting Outlook
The Stars come into Tampa riding a three-game win streak and finally showing signs of the team that many expected to see. After enduring a four-game slump, Dallas has regrouped with solid defensive structure and timely scoring. Despite missing key contributors like Mikael Granlund, Mason Marchment, and Evgenii Dadonov, along with injuries to Jamie Benn and Oskar Back, coach Glen Gulutzan has found ways to make the lineup work.
Tyler Seguin was the difference in Tuesday’s 1-0 win over Washington, scoring the lone goal while returning to a familiar line with Sam Steele and Mikko Rantanen. Rantanen has quietly been the engine for this Dallas offense, leading the team with 12 points, while Wyatt Johnston’s team-high six goals highlight his emergence as a consistent finisher.
The biggest storyline off the ice was the eight-year, $84.7 million extension for defenseman Thomas Harley, a well-earned payday for one of the NHL’s brightest young blueliners. Jake Oettinger also turned in his first shutout of the season Tuesday, stopping 24 shots and improving to 5-2-1. If the Stars can continue to generate offense without their injured core and maintain that defensive consistency, they’ll be in position to make this one competitive.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Outlook
The Lightning looked lost early in the season but have stormed back with three straight wins to climb out of the Eastern basement. Coach Jon Cooper’s group appears rejuvenated, with improved two-way play and balanced contributions from all four lines. Zemgus Girgensons provided the spark in Tuesday’s 5-2 win over Nashville, scoring twice while anchoring an energetic checking line with Yanni Gourde and Pontus Holmberg.
That trio has been crucial in Tampa’s recent surge, doing the dirty work along the boards and driving possession. Nikita Kucherov remains his usual electric self, while Brandon Hagel has chipped in with six points over the last three games. Even rookie Charle-Edouard D’Astous joined the party, scoring his first NHL goal and the eventual game-winner against the Predators.
Tampa Bay’s strength at home and ability to dictate pace make them a dangerous matchup for a banged-up Stars team. If they continue rolling with this level of depth scoring and defensive buy-in, they’ll be tough to slow down.
NHL Prediction & Betting Angle
Both teams enter hot, but Tampa Bay’s momentum and home-ice advantage give them the edge in this one. Dallas will fight hard, but the injuries and lack of scoring depth could catch up late. Expect a close, high-energy battle with Tampa’s firepower ultimately proving too much.
Score Prediction: Lightning 4, Stars 2
Pick: Tampa Bay -1.5 (+163)
Total: Over 5.5 Alt Lines (-135)
- NHL Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
