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Detroit vs Dallas Expert Picks and TNF Betting Breakdown

Cowboys vs Lions odds, expert picks and score prediction for Thursday’s NFC showdown.

(Photo by Getty Images) Jared Goff
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Dallas (6-5-1) at Detroit (7-5-0)

  • When: Dec 4 2025, 8:15 PM
  • Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
  • Where to watch: Amazon Prime Video
  • Last Meeting: DET 47-9, October 13th, 2024

Dallas vs Detroit Preview & Prediction

Spread: Detroit -3.0
Moneyline: Detroit (-168)
Total: 54.5

Detroit Lions Betting Outlook

Detroit keeps living on the edge. They are 7-5, slipping out of the NFC North race, and now clinging to a wild card spot that shrinks by the week. Dan Campbell knows the window is tightening and the Lions cannot afford another misstep after dropping three of their last five.

The matchup itself is a chance for Detroit to stop the bleeding. Their offense remains one of the most productive in the league, nearly matching Dallas yard for yard. The defense, however, has been inconsistent and gives up far too many explosive plays. The key for the Lions is whether they can protect Jared Goff long enough to sustain drives against a Dallas defense that has regained its swagger.

Detroit also has the motivation angle. They crushed the Cowboys last season, snapping a six game losing streak in the series, and have not suffered consecutive losses in more than 56 regular season games. Protecting that streak will be a point of pride.

Lions Player Prop Pick: Jared Goff Over Passing Yards – Detroit plays fast at home, this matchup invites a shootout, and Goff historically excels indoors against aggressive defenses.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Outlook

Dallas enters this battle with momentum, winners of three straight and suddenly looking like a real threat to Philadelphia in the NFC East. Dak Prescott has the offense humming and the Cowboys are finally healthy on defense again, aside from the continued absence of Trevon Diggs.

Dallas owns the league’s top ranked offense in total yards and nearly leads the NFL in scoring as well. They have shown they can win shootouts and grind-out games, and Prescott has shown sharper control of the offense in recent weeks. But this is a tough road task, especially against a Lions team that rarely drops games at home.

The key for Dallas is protecting Prescott from Detroit’s front. Aidan Hutchinson has had an impact year, and although he did not make noise last week, he is the type of player who can disrupt any passing attack. If Dallas can give Prescott clean pockets, they can match Detroit score for score.

Cowboys Player Prop Pick: CeeDee Lamb Anytime Touchdown – With Dallas leaning heavily on their star WR in high stakes games, this is a prime scoring opportunity.

Expert Betting Outlook & NFL Prediction

The path points toward a fast paced, back and forth game where both offenses trade blows. Detroit plays its best football at home, but Dallas has found a new level in the past three weeks. The Lions’ streak of avoiding consecutive losses will be tested heavily.

Dallas survives the shootout and tightens the NFC wild card race even further.

Final Score:  Cowboys 31, Lions 27
Lean:  Dallas (+136)
Total: 
Over 54.5 

2026 NBA Championship Odds

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