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Green Bay (9-3-1) at Denver (11-2-0)
- When: Dec 14 2025, 4:25 PM
- Where: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
- Where to watch: CBS
- Last Meeting: DEN 19-17, October 22nd, 2023
Green Bay vs Denver Preview & Prediction
Spread: Green Bay -1.0
Moneyline: Green Bay (-120)
Total: 42.5
Denver Broncos Breakdown
Denver reaches this matchup in a position few expected a few months ago. The Broncos sit at the top of the AFC playoff picture, riding a ten game winning streak and protecting their home field like it is a national monument. They have not lost at home all season and have sent every visiting team home unhappy for more than a year.
Despite all that, Denver enters as the home underdog, which tells you exactly how much skepticism still surrounds this run. The Broncos have made a habit of living dangerously, stacking comeback wins and grinding out tight finishes that leave analysts shaking their heads. Instead of backing down, Denver has leaned into the doubt, playing loose and confident in late game situations.
Bo Nix has handled pressure well, managing games efficiently and avoiding critical mistakes. The defense is the real backbone. Denver leads the league in sacks, brings relentless pressure from multiple angles, and pairs it with elite coverage on the back end. That combination has turned close games into controlled chaos that somehow keeps breaking Denver’s way.
Green Bay Packers Breakdown
Green Bay arrives as a 1 point road favorite with the Total set at 42.5, coming off a physical win over Chicago and sandwiched between two rivalry games. The Packers are battle tested, balanced, and built to handle uncomfortable environments. Jordan Love has grown more decisive, spreading the ball efficiently and capitalizing when defenses overcommit.
Christian Watson has found his rhythm after a late season return, giving Green Bay a legitimate vertical threat again. Defensively, the Packers can generate pressure and force turnovers, which will be critical against a Denver team that thrives in close games. Green Bay has seen this movie before, facing long win streaks from opponents and playing the role of spoiler more than once.
This matchup sets up as a classic contrast of styles. Green Bay prefers cleaner wins and steady control, while Denver thrives in chaos and late drama.
Prediction and Betting Outlook
The Total reflects a defensive battle, and that makes sense. Both teams pressure quarterbacks, limit explosive plays, and excel in situational football. Denver’s home dominance cannot be ignored, but Green Bay’s ability to disrupt rhythm and avoid mistakes gives them a slight edge.
Expect a tight, physical game with multiple momentum swings and very little separation until the final minutes.
Final Score: Packers 23, Broncos 20
Lean: Green Bay -1.0
Total: Over 42.5
- NFL Football Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
