- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Miami (11-2) at Ohio State (12-1)
- When: Dec 31 2025, 7:30 PM
- Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
- Where to watch: ESPN
- Last Meeting: Miami 24-6, September 17th, 2011
(10) Miami vs (2) Ohio State Preview & Prediction
Spread: Ohio State -9.5
Moneyline: Ohio State (-360)
Total: 41.0
Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Breakdown
Ohio State arrives in Arlington carrying both recent dominance and unfinished business. The Buckeyes are fresh off a season that reaffirmed their place among college football’s elite, even after a narrow Big Ten title loss reminded everyone that perfection is not guaranteed. This roster is still stacked, fast, and ruthless when it finds rhythm.
The offense leans on balance and explosiveness, with a passing game capable of stretching the field and a defense built to suffocate opponents. Ohio State’s depth along the defensive front is especially important here, as pressure has been a recurring problem for Miami quarterbacks. While the offensive line takes a small hit with an injury, the Buckeyes still possess enough talent to control tempo and field position.
From a betting perspective, Ohio State being favored by 9.5 reflects trust in their ability to separate late. Their defensive efficiency and red zone discipline point toward controlling a lower scoring game rather than winning in a shootout.
Ohio State Player Prop Pick: Jeremiah Smith over 81.5 receiving yards – He remains the most dynamic weapon on the field and a matchup nightmare when healthy.
Miami Hurricanes Betting Breakdown
Miami enters the quarterfinal playing with momentum and attitude. The Hurricanes announced themselves in the opening round by overwhelming Texas A&M with pressure, physicality, and confidence. That defensive performance was not a fluke. Miami thrives when it can dictate chaos up front and force opponents into uncomfortable decisions.
The Hurricanes defense is anchored by relentless edge play and aggressive blitz packages. That approach gives Miami a chance to stay within striking distance, especially if they can disrupt Ohio State early. Offensively, Miami will not try to win a track meet. Instead, expect methodical drives, field position battles, and a heavy reliance on ball security.
This is Miami’s biggest stage in years, and motivation will not be lacking. However, sustaining four quarters against Ohio State’s depth is the challenge. If Miami stalls offensively for too long, the dam could break late.
Miami Player Prop Pick: Rueben Bain Jr. over sacks – His pass rush role and recent form create opportunities against a reshuffled offensive line.
Expert Prediction & Betting Angle
Ohio State is favored by 9.5 with the total sitting at 41.0, signaling a defensive focused playoff game. Miami’s defense keeps things tight early, but Ohio State’s efficiency and depth slowly take over. Expect a grind with limited fireworks and a decisive Buckeyes push in the second half.
Final Score: Ohio State 27, Miami 16
Lean: Ohio State -9.5
Total: Over 41.0
- NCAA Football Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
