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Ole Miss (12-1) at Georgia (12-1)
- When: Jan 1 2026, 8:00 PM
- Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
- Where to watch: ESPN
- Last Meeting: Georgia 43-35, October 18th, 2025
(6) Ole Miss vs (3) Georgia Preview & Prediction
Spread: Georgia -6.5
Moneyline: Georgia (-245)
Total: 55.5
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Outlook
Ole Miss already proved it can handle a rematch atmosphere, but this one comes with far heavier stakes. The Rebels cruised past Tulane twice this season, yet their second meeting with Georgia presents a very different challenge. The first matchup showed Ole Miss can trade punches early, but sustaining that pace for four quarters remains the real test.
Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss continues to drive this offense with his dual threat ability. He was productive through the air and on the ground in the October loss, but the Rebels could not close the deal once Georgia adjusted. Ole Miss faded late, surrendered momentum, and watched a lead evaporate quickly.
The running game is the biggest question entering the Sugar Bowl. Kewan Lacy remains the engine, but Ole Miss must find more consistent push up front. Georgia dominated possession in the first meeting and forced Ole Miss into predictable passing situations late. If the Rebels want a different result, ball control and third down efficiency have to improve.
Defensively, Ole Miss knows it cannot allow Georgia to operate without resistance. Missed tackles and communication lapses proved costly in Athens. Expect a more aggressive approach early, especially aimed at limiting explosive plays and forcing Georgia into longer drives.
Ole Miss player prop lean: Trinidad Chambliss over passing yards
Georgia Bulldogs Betting Outlook
Georgia enters this rematch riding momentum and confidence. The Bulldogs survived a shaky start to the season and have looked far more complete down the stretch. Their ability to flip games late has been a defining trait, and the shutout fourth quarter against Ole Miss earlier this season marked a defensive turning point.
Quarterback Gunner Stockton has blossomed into a true matchup nightmare. His efficiency throwing the football combined with his mobility makes Georgia difficult to scheme against. Stockton has shown he can hurt defenses that sell out to stop the run or overcommit to coverage.
The Bulldogs defense has tightened significantly since October. Gap discipline, improved tackling, and better communication in the secondary have fueled a dominant stretch. Georgia has been especially strong at closing games, allowing minimal scoring once adjustments are made.
Georgia also brings a psychological edge. This program thrives in playoff environments, and the lessons from last season’s Sugar Bowl loss appear to be fueling a focused approach. Expect a patient game plan early, followed by increased pressure as the game progresses.
Georgia player prop lean: Gunner Stockton over total touchdowns
Expert Prediction & Betting Angle
Ole Miss should move the ball early and keep this competitive into the second half, but Georgia’s depth and defensive consistency are hard to ignore. The Bulldogs excel at winning late and controlling tempo when it matters most.
Final Score: Georgia 34, Ole Miss 27
Lean: Georgia -6.5
Total: Over 55.5
- NCAA Football Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
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