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No. 1 Arizona at No. 11 Kansas Expert Picks

Arizona vs Kansas odds, spread, total and expert betting prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Brayden Burries
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Arizona (23-0) vs Kansas (18-5)

  • When: Feb 9 2026, 9:00 PM
  • Where: Allen Fieldhouse, Lawrence, KS, USA
  • Where to watch: ESPN

(1) Arizona vs (11) Kansas Preview & Prediction

Spread: Arizona -2.5
Moneyline: Arizona (-164)
Total: 152.0

Arizona Wildcats Betting Breakdown

Arizona travels to Lawrence as a 3 point favorite with the total sitting at 151.5, and the Wildcats are riding history. They are 23-0 overall and 10-0 in the Big 12, the best start this program has ever had. They have also been ranked No. 1 for nine straight weeks, which tells you this is not a fluke run.

Tommy Lloyd’s group has been overwhelming opponents. Arizona ranks near the top nationally in scoring margin at plus 21.0, rebounds at 43.4 per game, field goal percentage at 51.6 percent, and points per game at 89.5. That is efficiency with muscle. Inside, Tobe Awaka pulls down 9.9 boards per game and Motiejus Krivas adds 8.3.

Freshman Brayden Burries leads the team with 15.3 points per game, while Koa Peat chips in 14.6 points and 5.6 rebounds. This roster scores from everywhere and punishes teams in the paint.

Player prop pick: Brayden Burries over 15.5 points – In a hostile road environment, Arizona will lean on its leading scorer to steady the offense and attack early.

Kansas Jayhawks Betting Breakdown

Kansas stands at 18-5 overall and 8-2 in conference play, bringing a seven game winning streak into Allen Fieldhouse. The Jayhawks are 11-1 at home this season and allow just 67.3 points per game, which makes them dangerous as a home underdog.

The emergence of freshman Darryn Peterson has changed the ceiling of this team. He is averaging 20.5 points over 13 games and has taken on a primary scoring role. Flory Bidunga provides interior toughness with 14.6 points and 8.9 rebounds per game, while Tre White adds 14.6 points and 7.1 rebounds.

Kansas shoots 47.9 percent from the field and will try to slow Arizona’s pace, force half court sets, and grind possessions.

Player prop pick: Darryn Peterson over 20.5 points – In a statement game at home, expect Kansas to ride its freshman star for heavy usage and shot volume.

Expert Final Score Prediction

This is strength against strength. Arizona’s offense versus Kansas’ defense. The total at 152.0 suggests a competitive but controlled pace.

Arizona’s balance and rebounding edge give them the slight advantage, even in a hostile arena. Kansas keeps it tight behind Peterson’s scoring, but the Wildcats’ depth proves decisive late.

Final Score: Arizona 78, Kansas 73
Lean: Arizona -2.5
Total: 
Under 152.0

2026 NBA Championship Odds

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