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North Carolina (19-4) vs Miami (18-5)
- When: Feb 10 2026, 7:00 PM
- Where: Watsco Center, Coral Gables, FL, USA
- Where to watch: ESPN
(11) North Carolina vs Miami Preview & Prediction
Spread: North Carolina -1.0
Moneyline: North Carolina (-110)
Total: 157.5
North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Preview
North Carolina heads to Miami laying just 1 point with the total posted at 157.5, and this one screams emotional test. The Tar Heels are coming off a dramatic 71-68 win over Duke, a rivalry victory that can either fuel momentum or create a letdown spot.
At 19-4 overall and 7-3 in the ACC, North Carolina has balanced size and scoring. Caleb Wilson anchors the frontcourt, averaging 20.2 points and 9.6 rebounds while shooting 58.5 percent from the field. Henri Veesaar adds 16.6 points per game, ranks near the top of the league in rebounding, and is converting 62.6 percent of his shots. Seth Trimble chips in 14.2 points and just delivered the game winning three against Duke.
The Tar Heels have length and interior efficiency, which matters against a Miami team built to score inside. The key for bettors is focus. After an emotional rivalry win, can they match Miami’s physicality on the road?
Betting lean: North Carolina to win outright, but expect a tight contest that could flirt with the number all night.
Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview
Miami enters at 18-5 overall and 7-3 in conference play, riding strong home form at 12 and 2. Under first year coach Jai Lucas, the Hurricanes have rebuilt around size and paint dominance.
They lead the ACC in field goal percentage at 51.1 percent, largely because of their interior presence. Malik Reneau is averaging 20.0 points on 56.5 percent shooting and does most of his work in the lane. Ernest Udeh Jr. pulls down 9.6 rebounds per game, while Shelton Henderson contributes 14.5 points and shoots an impressive 61.5 percent.
Tre Donaldson runs the offense with 15.9 points and 6.2 assists per game and has shown the ability to close strong, as he did with 13 second half points in the win over Boston College.
Miami’s weakness is perimeter defense, allowing 35.3 percent from three. If North Carolina spaces the floor well, that could swing the outcome.
Betting lean: Slight edge to the over 157.5 if the game becomes a paint scoring battle with late fouls.
Final Score Prediction
Both teams bring size and efficient offense, but North Carolina’s depth and star power in Wilson and Veesaar give them a small edge.
Final Score: North Carolina 81, Miami 78
Lean: North Carolina -1.0
Total: Over 157.5
- NCAAB Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
