- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Guardians Regression Signals Betting Caution
The Cleveland Guardians enter their 126th MLB season looking to make noise in the American League. For bettors, Cleveland’s 2026 outlook centers on win totals, division futures, and pitching-driven value plays in a competitive AL landscape.
Cleveland Guardians Season Outlook:
Manager: Stephen Vogt
Guardians Stadium: Progressive Field
Guardians MLB Schedule: MLB.com
2026 Cleveland Guardians MLB Futures Odds
- Odds to win the 2026 World Series: +5000
- Odds to win the 2026 AL Pennant: +2200
- Odds to win the 2026 AL Central: +330
- Longest Regular Season Win Streak: Over 6½ (-115)
- 2026 Regular Season Win Total: 79½ O (-105) | U (-125)
- Odds to Make the 2026 Playoffs: Yes +175 | No -240
- Official website: MLB.com/Guardians
- X Account : @CLEGuardians
What to expect in 2026?
Cleveland enters 2026 as the reigning AL Central champs, but the betting market and projection models are not fully convinced. Forecasts hover around 75 to 76 wins, signaling potential regression after last season’s run. The front office leaned on internal growth and its farm system rather than splashy free agent moves.
Advanced projections are especially cautious, flagging possible overperformance from key bats and identifying depth concerns in both the lineup and rotation. With estimates closer to 73 to 74 wins, this shapes up as one of the strongest under leans on the board. For bettors, Cleveland looks more like a fade candidate in win totals than a repeat division favorite.
2025 Season Record: 88–74
Last Season Divisional place: 1st
MLB Players Season Props for Guardians:
Brayan Rocchio Total Home Runs
Over 9.5 -115
Under 9.5 -115
Brayan Rocchio Total RBIs
Over 48.5 -115
Under 48.5 -115
Gavin Williams ERA
Over 3.80 -115
Under 3.80 -115
Gavin Williams Total Strikeouts
Over 170.5 -115
Under 170.5 -115
Gavin Williams Total Wins
Over 9.5 -145
Under 9.5 +110
José Ramírez Total Hits
Over 157.5 -125
Under 157.5 -105
José Ramírez Total Home Runs
Over 27.5 -125
Under 27.5 -105
José Ramírez Total RBIs
Over 92.5 -115
Under 92.5 -115
José Ramírez Total Stolen Bases
Over 30.5 -120
Under 30.5 -110
Kyle Manzardo Total Hits
Over 110.5 -120
Under 110.5 -110
Kyle Manzardo Total Home Runs
Over 23.5 -115
Under 23.5 -115
Kyle Manzardo Total RBIs
Over 70.5 -115
Under 70.5 -115
Steven Kwan Total Hits
Over 155.5 -115
Under 155.5 -115
Steven Kwan Total Home Runs
Over 10.5 -115
Under 10.5 -115
Steven Kwan Total RBIs
Over 56.5 -115
Under 56.5 -115
Tanner Bibee ERA
Over 3.90 -125
Under 3.90 -105
Tanner Bibee Total Strikeouts
Over 164.5 -115
Under 164.5 -115
Tanner Bibee Total Wins
Over 10.5 -115
Under 10.5 -115
Favorite bets for the season at current odds:
- Season Win Total: Under 79½ (-125)
- José Ramírez Total Hits: Over 157.5 (-125)
- MLB Odds According to Bovada as of February, 2026
Bet on the Cleveland Guardians 2026 Season at Bovada Sportsbook.
