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No. 1 Michigan at No. 7 Purdue Game Odds & Pick

Michigan vs Purdue odds, spread, total and expert prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Yaxel Lendeborg
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Michigan (24-1) vs Purdue (21-4)

  • When: Feb 17 2026, 6:30 PM
  • Where: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN, USA
  • Where to watch: Peacock

(1) Michigan vs (7) Purdue Preview & Prediction

Spread: Michigan -2.5
Moneyline: Michigan (-145)
Total: 157.0

Michigan Wolverines Betting Breakdown

Michigan rolls into West Lafayette looking like the best team in the country. Ten straight wins, most of them comfortable, and a roster that doesn’t lean on just one scorer. That balance makes them extremely tough to scheme against.

They’ve blown teams out with defense, depth, and second-half surges. With multiple players capable of leading the scoring column on any given night, Michigan forces opponents to guard all five spots. Bettors have cashed backing this group during the streak, especially when laying short numbers.

The total at 157.0 suggests pace and efficiency. Michigan has shown it can score in bunches, but this will be one of its toughest road environments of the season.

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Breakdown

Purdue sits within striking distance in the Big Ten race, but this is a statement spot. The Boilermakers have rebounded with four straight wins after a midseason skid and have leaned heavily on their frontcourt and rebounding edge.

Their formula is simple: control the glass, protect the paint, and let the point guard orchestrate. When Purdue dominates the boards, it shortens games and keeps elite offenses from getting out in transition.

At home, Purdue will look to slow this down and turn it into a half-court battle. That could put pressure on the posted total, especially if possessions are limited.

Betting Outlook & Prediction

Michigan has been the better, more complete team, but this is their toughest road test in weeks. Purdue’s physicality and home crowd make this a coin-flip style matchup.

Final Score: Michigan 82, Purdue 78
Lean: Michigan -2.5
Total: 
Over 157.0 

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