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Montreal (0-0) at Buffalo (0-0)
- When: May 6 2026, 7:00 PM
- Where: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY, USA
- TV: TNT
Montreal vs Buffalo NHL Preview & Pick
Moneyline: Buffalo -133
Spread: Buffalo -1.5 (+190)
Total: 6.0
Buffalo Sabres Betting Breakdown
The Buffalo Sabres enter Game 1 as -133 favorites with the total sitting at 6.0, and on paper, they’ve earned that respect. This is a team that finally broke through, advancing past Boston in six games and returning to the second round for the first time in nearly two decades. Confidence is high, especially on home ice where they’ve been dominant all season.
Offensively, Tage Thompson remains the centerpiece. He produced 40 goals and 81 points during the regular season and has continued to contribute in the playoffs with seven points. Alex Tuch has matched that output, giving Buffalo a reliable scoring duo that can generate chances at even strength.
But here is the concern from a betting standpoint. The power play has been a major issue. One goal on 24 opportunities in the first round is not just a slump, it is a liability. In tight playoff games, that inefficiency can flip outcomes quickly.
Buffalo also needs to stay disciplined defensively. When they get aggressive at home, it can open space for skilled opponents. Against a team that thrives on quick chances, that risk cannot be ignored.
Montreal Canadiens Betting Breakdown
The Montreal Canadiens come in as underdogs, but this group is built to handle this exact spot. They survived a grind of a first round series that featured seven one goal games, including multiple overtime battles. That kind of experience matters, especially early in a new series.
Between the pipes, Jakub Dobes has been outstanding with a .923 save percentage, giving Montreal stability in net. When a young goaltender is playing with that level of confidence, it can carry a team into tough road environments.
Up front, Nick Suzuki continues to lead the offense after a 101 point season. He produced six points in the opening round and consistently drives play in all situations. Cole Caufield and Juraj Slafkovsky add scoring depth, while Lane Hutson has been a difference maker from the blue line.
Montreal’s road success stands out. They were one of the best teams away from home during the regular season, and that confidence translates well into playoff settings. They do not need to control the game for 60 minutes. They just need to capitalize on key moments, something they have done consistently.
NHL Playoffs Betting Prediction
The line suggests Buffalo holds the edge, but this matchup is tighter than the odds indicate. The total of 6.0 points toward a controlled, defensive battle where goaltending and special teams will decide the outcome.
Buffalo has the home ice advantage and offensive firepower, but their struggles on the power play and tendency to open up defensively create opportunities. Montreal brings structure, resilience, and a goaltender in form, which is often the formula for playoff upsets.
Expect a competitive game with limited scoring chances and momentum swings throughout. Montreal’s ability to stay composed and capitalize late gives them value in this spot.
Score Prediction: Canadiens 3, Sabres 2
Pick: Montreal ML (+112)
Total: Under 6.0 (-120)
- NHL Playoffs Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
