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Sparks vs Fever Odds, Expert Picks & Predictions

Los Angeles and Indiana expert analysis with today’s odds and best bets.

(Photo by Getty Images) Kelsey Mitchell
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Los Angeles (8-9) at Indiana (10-8)

  • When: Jun 27 2026, 8:00 PM
  • Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN, USA
  • TV: CBS

Los Angeles vs Indiana Preview & Prediction

Spread: Indiana -6.5
Moneyline: Indiana (-270)
Total: 179.5

This matchup has injury chaos written all over it. Indiana comes in favored by 6.5 points, with the total sitting high at 179.5. That number tells you books still expect pace, scoring, and plenty of transition chances, even with Caitlin Clark sidelined.

Indiana Fever Betting Preview

Indiana enters at 10-8 and will have to operate without Caitlin Clark, who is dealing with a back injury after the physical late-game sequence against Phoenix. That is a major blow because Clark is averaging 21.2 points and 8.2 assists per game, ranking second in the WNBA in assists.

Without Clark, the Fever offense should run more directly through Kelsey Mitchell. Mitchell is averaging 21.4 points per game and now becomes the clear perimeter engine. Her shot volume should climb, especially against a Sparks defense that just allowed Marina Mabrey to explode for 53 points in a 125-97 loss to Toronto.

Aliyah Boston also becomes a bigger piece in this matchup. She is averaging 17.0 points and has scored above that mark in three of her last five games. Even more important, Boston has grabbed at least eight rebounds in five straight games, which gives Indiana a strong interior advantage against a Sparks team trying to stabilize defensively.

Sophie Cunningham could also see more offensive opportunity off the bench. She struggled in the recent Phoenix series, scoring only seven total points across two games, but Clark’s absence opens up extra minutes and touches.

Indiana Player Prop Pick: Kelsey Mitchell Over Points
With Clark out, Mitchell should carry the top scoring role. The usage bump is obvious, and Los Angeles’ perimeter defense is coming off a nightmare outing. If Mitchell gets hot early, this prop has strong upside.

Los Angeles Sparks Betting Preview

The Sparks are 8-9 and badly missing Kelsey Plum, who was averaging 23.9 points per game before suffering a left leg injury. Losing the league’s second-leading scorer changes everything for Los Angeles, especially late in games when shot creation gets tight.

Their first full game without Plum was ugly. Los Angeles gave up 125 points to Toronto and allowed Mabrey to tie the WNBA single-game scoring record with 53 points. That is not just a bad defensive night. That is the kind of game that makes bettors pause before backing the underdog.

Nneka Ogwumike and Dearica Hamby now carry the scoring burden. Both finished with 21 points against Toronto, showing they can still produce, but the Sparks need more help around them. Rae Burrell added 17 points, but the supporting cast was thin.

Ariel Atkins is one player who must respond. The former two-time All-Star went scoreless against Toronto and has not fully found her offensive rhythm with Los Angeles. Still, she brings defensive value and could be needed heavily against Mitchell.

Los Angeles Player Prop Pick: Nneka Ogwumike Over Points
With Plum out, Ogwumike should continue seeing reliable scoring volume. She is one of the Sparks’ most trustworthy offensive options and should be heavily involved in the half-court offense.

WNBA Final Score & Expert Prediction

Indiana missing Clark matters, but Los Angeles missing Plum matters just as much. The Fever still have Mitchell, Boston, home court, and the better current structure. The Sparks can hang around if Ogwumike and Hamby both produce, but their defense is a major concern after that Toronto disaster.

Final Score: Fever 95, Sparks 87
Lean: Indiana Fever -6.5
Total: 
Over 179.5 

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