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BMW Championship PGA Golf Playoff Guide, Preview and Picks

BMW Championship odds, props, picks and expert FedEx Cup playoff predictions.

BMW Championship 2026
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2026 BMW Championship Golf Tournament

Tournament: BMW Championship
Date: August 20-23, 2026
Location: St. Louis, Missouri
Course: Bellerive Country Club
Par/Yardage: 70 / 7,448
Purse: $20 million (Winner: $3.6 million)
Field: 50 Players
Last Year Winner: Scottie Scheffler
Last Week Winner: Scottie Scheffler
Last Week Runnerup: Si Woo Kim
FedEx Cup Points Leaders: Scottie Scheffler
Television: Thursday-Friday, 3-7 p.m. (Golf Channel)
Saturday-Sunday, 1-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3-6 p.m. (CBS)

PGA Tour Playoff Odds and Expert Picks

The 2026 BMW Championship heads to Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis from August 20-23, bringing serious FedEx Cup pressure and plenty of betting opportunities. Only 50 players remain, there’s no 36-hole cut, and the top 30 advance to the Tour Championship.

Defending champion Scottie Scheffler enters as the betting favorite, while Xander Schauffele is safely positioned for Atlanta. Bellerive should reward power and elite ball-striking. The par-70 layout stretches nearly 7,450 yards, with added length, demanding doglegs and long-iron approaches making distance a major handicapping factor.

The more interesting betting drama could come around the FedEx Cup bubble. Adam Scott, Kurt Kitayama, Bud Cauley and Rickie Fowler currently occupy positions 27 through 30. Gary Woodland, J.T. Poston, Nicolai Højgaard and Robert MacIntyre sit outside the cutoff and need big weeks.

With $20 million at stake and every player guaranteed four rounds, outright, finishing-position and matchup markets should offer bettors plenty to attack.

Read on to see our picks for this week.

Here are the Odds for all Players:

BMW Championship
Winner

Scottie Scheffler   +300
Ludvig Aberg   +1600
Rory McIlroy   +1800
Sam Burns   +1800
Xander Schauffele   +1800
Tommy Fleetwood   +2000
Cameron Young   +2000
Matt Fitzpatrick   +2200
Hideki Matsuyama   +2800
Si Woo Kim   +3000
Viktor Hovland   +3000
Chris Gotterup   +3000
Justin Thomas   +3500
Wyndham Clark   +3500
Patrick Cantlay   +4000
Collin Morikawa   +4000
Jake Knapp   +4500
Russell Henley   +5500
Tom Kim   +5500
Maverick McNealy   +5500
Kurt Kitayama   +5500
Michael Thorbjornsen   +5500
Rickie Fowler   +5500
Min Woo Lee   +5500
Ryan Gerard   +6000
Adam Scott   +6500
J J Spaun   +6500
Michael Brennan   +6500
Alex Noren   +7000
Sungjae Im   +7000
Justin Rose   +7000
Ben Griffin   +7500
Robert MacIntyre   +8000
Alex Smalley   +8000
Gary Woodland   +8000
Nicolai Hojgaard   +8000
Kristoffer Reitan   +9000
Jacob Bridgeman   +10000
Bud Cauley   +10000
Alex Fitzpatrick   +10000
Akshay Bhatia   +12500
Ryan Fox   +12500
Aaron Rai   +15000
Eric Cole   +15000
J.T. Poston   +15000
Nico Echavarria   +15000
Ryo Hisatsune   +15000
Sepp Straka   +22500
Sahith Theegala   +22500
Matt McCarty   +30000

The Prediction: Tommy Fleetwood 20/1 (+2000)

Tommy Fleetwood is our BMW Championship outright pick. He arrives scorching hot after a T7 in Memphis, extending his streak to seven straight top-14 finishes. Fleetwood also owns serious playoff credentials after winning the 2025 Tour Championship and finishing T4 at last year’s BMW.

His elite driving accuracy and iron play fit demanding Bellerive perfectly. With previous experience on this course, +2000 offers attractive outright value on a proven playoff performer.

Propping up:

  1. Take Ludvig Aberg for Top-5 finish +260.
  2. Take Sam Burns for Top-10 finish +125.
  3. Take Sungjae Im for Top-20 finish -110.
  4. Take Scottie Scheffler for Top American Player +175.
  5. Take Si Woo Kim for Top Asian Player +220.
  6. Take Viktor Hovland -115 over Chris Gotterup in Tournament Match Up.
  7. Long Shot Bets – Take Jake Knapp for Top-5 finish +550.
  8. Bonus Bet -Winning Margin 2 strokes +350

Bet on the BMW Championship at Bovada Sportsbook

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