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Nakashima vs Tiafoe Cincinnati Open Semifinal Odds & Prediction

Two Americans battle Saturday for a place in the Cincinnati Open final.

(Photo by Getty Images) Brandon Nakashima
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Nakashima vs Tiafoe Cincinnati Open Matchup

Matchup: (27) Brandon Nakashima vs (17) Frances Tiafoe
When:  Aug 22 2026, 6:00 PM
Tournament:  Cincinnati Open
Round:  Semifinal
Venue: Lindner Family Tennis Center
Location: Mason, Ohio

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Game Spread

Brandon Nakashima   -0.5 (-115)
Frances Tiafoe   0.5 (-115)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Moneyline

Brandon Nakashima   -120
Frances Tiafoe   EVEN

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Total

Over   25.5 (-110)
Under   25.5 (-120)

(Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!)

Nakashima vs Tiafoe ATP Tennis Preview

Brandon Nakashima and Frances Tiafoe meet Saturday in an all-American Cincinnati Open semifinal with a spot in the final on the line. Tiafoe owns a commanding 6-1 head-to-head advantage, including 5-1 on outdoor hard courts, and defeated Nakashima in three sets earlier this season in Acapulco.

Nakashima enters red-hot after beating Taylor Fritz and winning 12 of his last 13 matches, but three straight three-setters raise fatigue concerns. Tiafoe has enjoyed a lighter workload after straight-set wins over Felix Auger-Aliassime and Lorenzo Musetti. His fresher legs and dominant matchup history give Tiafoe the stronger betting profile.

Nakashima vs Tiafoe Matchups Props

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Game Spread

Brandon Nakashima – S1   -1.5 (+155)
Frances Tiafoe – S1   1.5 (-205)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Moneyline

Brandon Nakashima – S1   -120
Frances Tiafoe – S1   -110

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Total

Over – S1   10.5 (+125)
Under – S1   10.5 (-165)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Match Specials

Nakashima To Win & Over 24.5 Total Games   +225
Nakashima To Win & Under 24.5 Total Games   +225
Tiafoe To Win & Over 25.5 Total Games   +275
Tiafoe To Win & Under 25.5 Total Games   +300
Nakashima To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2   +9000
Nakashima To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4   +1000
Nakashima To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6   +1800
Nakashima To Win Every Set 7-6   +2800
Tiafoe To Win Every Set 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2   +15000
Tiafoe To Win Every Set 6-3 or 6-4   +1200
Tiafoe To Win Every Set 7-5 or 7-6   +2000
Tiafoe To Win Every Set 7-6   +3500
Nakashima To Win Their First 2 Service Games To 0 or 15   +260
Tiafoe To Win Their First 2 Service Games To 0 or 15   +300
Both Players Opening Service Games To Go To Deuce   +1600
Both Players To Face A Break Point In Their Opening Service Game   +1200
Match To Go To A Final Set Tie Break   +550

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Alternate Total Games

Over   24.5 (-130)
Under   24.5 (EVEN)
Over   25.0 (-120)
Under   25.0 (-110)
Over   26.5 (+120)
Under   26.5 (-155)
Over   27.0 (+125)
Under   27.0 (-165)
Over   27.5 (+125)
Under   27.5 (-165)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Alternate Total Games

Over – S1   12.5 (+180)
Under – S1   12.5 (-240)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Total Games O/U – Brandon Nakashima

Over   13.0 (-125)
Under   13.0 (-105)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Total Games O/U – Frances Tiafoe

Over   13.0 (-115)
Under   13.0 (-115)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Total Games O/U

Over – S1   10.5 (+125)
Under – S1   10.5 (-165)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Alternate Game Spread

Brandon Nakashima   0.5 (-145)
Frances Tiafoe   -0.5 (+110)
Brandon Nakashima   -1.0 (-105)
Frances Tiafoe   1.0 (-125)
Brandon Nakashima   1.0 (-165)
Frances Tiafoe   -1.0 (+125)
Brandon Nakashima   -1.5 (+105)
Frances Tiafoe   1.5 (-135)
Brandon Nakashima   1.5 (-170)
Frances Tiafoe   -1.5 (+130)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Alternate Game Spread

Brandon Nakashima – S1   1.5 (-250)
Frances Tiafoe – S1   -1.5 (+185)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Set Betting

Brandon Nakashima 2 – 0   +195
Brandon Nakashima 2 – 1   +295
Frances Tiafoe 2 – 0   +230
Frances Tiafoe 2 – 1   +315

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Set Spread

Brandon Nakashima   -1.5 (+200)
Frances Tiafoe   1.5 (-275)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Alternate Set Spread

Brandon Nakashima   1.5 (-350)
Frances Tiafoe   -1.5 (+250)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Total Sets

Over   2.5 (+110)
Under   2.5 (-145)

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Set Correct Score

Brandon Nakashima – 6 – 0 – S1   +9000
Brandon Nakashima – 6 – 1 – S1   +2100
Brandon Nakashima – 6 – 2 – S1   +2000
Brandon Nakashima – 6 – 3 – S1   +375
Brandon Nakashima – 6 – 4 – S1   +1000
Brandon Nakashima – 7 – 5 – S1   +1600
Brandon Nakashima – 7 – 6 – S1   +450
Frances Tiafoe – 6 – 0 – S1   +10000
Frances Tiafoe – 6 – 1 – S1   +5000
Frances Tiafoe – 6 – 2 – S1   +1400
Frances Tiafoe – 6 – 3 – S1   +1400
Frances Tiafoe – 6 – 4 – S1   +365
Frances Tiafoe – 7 – 5 – S1   +1600
Frances Tiafoe – 7 – 6 – S1   +460

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
1st Set Correct Score – Any Player

6-0   +5000
6-1   +1400
6-2   +800
6-3   +275
6-4   +240
7-5   +800
7-6   +225

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
1st Set Correct Score Groups

Brandon Nakashima 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2   +900
Brandon Nakashima 6-3 or 6-4   +240
Brandon Nakashima 7-5 or 7-6   +350
Frances Tiafoe 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2   +1200
Frances Tiafoe 6-3 or 6-4   +275
Frances Tiafoe 7-5 or 7-6   +375

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Set Exacta

Brandon Nakashima WW   +190
Brandon Nakashima WLW   +550
Brandon Nakashima LWW   +550
Frances Tiafoe WW   +225
Frances Tiafoe WLW   +600
Frances Tiafoe LWW   +600

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Tiebreak In Set

Yes – S1   +175
No – S1   -230

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
To Lose 1st Set & Win The Match

Brandon Nakashima   +550
Frances Tiafoe   +600

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
To Win 1st Set & Win The Match

Brandon Nakashima   +120
Frances Tiafoe   +165

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Will there be a tie-break in the match?

Yes   -170
No   +130

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Correct Score After 2 Games

Brandon Nakashima 2-0   +550
Frances Tiafoe 2-0   +600
Draw 1-1   -400

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Correct Score After 4 Games

Brandon Nakashima 4-0   +2800
Brandon Nakashima 3-1   +330
Frances Tiafoe 4-0   +3300
Frances Tiafoe 3-1   +400
Draw 2-2   -180

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Correct Score After 6 Games

Brandon Nakashima 6-0   +8000
Brandon Nakashima 5-1   +1400
Brandon Nakashima 4-2   +275
Frances Tiafoe 6-0   +10000
Frances Tiafoe 5-1   +1800
Frances Tiafoe 4-2   +300
Draw 3-3   -120

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Lead After 4 Games

Brandon Nakashima   +300
Frances Tiafoe   +375
Tie   -180

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Lead After 6 Games

Brandon Nakashima   +240
Frances Tiafoe   +275
Tie   -120

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Odd/Even Total Games

Even   -110
Odd   -110

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Brandon Nakashima – 1st Service Game

To Hold Serve   -1000
To Be Broken   +550

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Brandon Nakashima – 1st Service Game Score

Hold to Love   +300
Hold to 15   +220
Hold to 30   +300
Hold to 40   +400
Broken to Love   +5000
Broken to 15   +2200
Broken to 30   +1400
Broken to 40   +1800

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Brandon Nakashima – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points

Brandon Nakashima 30-0   EVEN
15-15   +110
Frances Tiafoe 0-30   +700

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Brandon Nakashima – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point

Yes   +275
No   -400

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe – 1st Service Game

To Hold Serve   -900
To Be Broken   +500

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe – 1st Service Game Score

Hold to Love   +330
Hold to 15   +225
Hold to 30   +300
Hold to 40   +375
Broken to Love   +4000
Broken to 15   +2000
Broken to 30   +1200
Broken to 40   +1600

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe – 1st Service Game – Score After 2 Points

Frances Tiafoe 30-0   +110
15-15   +110
Brandon Nakashima 0-30   +700

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe – 1st Service Game – To Face Break Point

Yes   +250
No   -350

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
First Service Break

Brandon Nakashima   -115
Frances Tiafoe   -115

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Will Brandon Nakashima Win At Least One Set?

Yes   -400
No   +275

Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Will Frances Tiafoe Win At Least One Set?

Yes   -275
No   +200

Cincinnati Open ATP Tennis Predictions

Tennis Pick: Alternate Total Games – Over 26.5 (+120)
A $100 Bet on that Props will return $220

Tennis Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook

Odds on Men’s US Open

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