Golden State (1-3) at Minnesota (3-1)
- When: May 14 2025, 9:30 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: TNT
Warriors vs. Timberwolves – Game 5 Preview, Prediction, and Player Props
Spread: Minnesota -10.5 | Total: 203.5
Minnesota Timberwolves Analysis
The Minnesota Timberwolves are on the brink of advancing to the Western Conference Finals as they gear up for Game 5 against the Golden State Warriors in Minneapolis. Holding a 3-1 series lead, the Timberwolves know this is their moment to close it out and avoid a trip back to the Bay Area for a potential Game 6. Anthony Edwards, who has been an absolute force in the series, is averaging 27.3 points per game and remains laser-focused.
“You can’t get comfortable in the NBA especially not in the playoffs,” Edwards stated. His leadership and consistent scoring have been pivotal for Minnesota, which also leans heavily on Julius Randle. Randle has chipped in 24.3 points per game and is thriving in his role, pushing the Timberwolves closer to their second straight conference finals appearance. Randle emphasized the urgency: “We’ve got to take advantage of these moments,” knowing that a Game 5 win would mean a much-needed rest and preparation for the next round.
Minnesota’s defense has also been sharp, disrupting Golden State’s offensive rhythm and shutting down their secondary options. Edwards and Randle both excelled in Game 4, rallying their squad to come from behind after trailing at halftime. With Curry out, Minnesota is pressing its advantage, and it’s paying off big time.
Player Props Picks (Minnesota):
Anthony Edwards Over 27.5 Points: Edwards has been the heart of Minnesota’s offense, and with Curry out, he has a clear path to continue his scoring dominance.
Julius Randle Over 7.5 Rebounds: With the Warriors struggling on the glass, Randle’s physicality is likely to shine, making him a solid choice to clear the boards.
Golden State Warriors Analysis
The Golden State Warriors have been in a tailspin since Stephen Curry went down with a hamstring injury in Game 1. Despite stealing the series opener, Golden State has struggled mightily, dropping three straight. Warriors coach Steve Kerr acknowledged the elephant in the room: “The series changed with Steph’s injury. Everybody’s shots are more difficult now.”
The team’s offense has sputtered without Curry, with Brandin Podziemski and Draymond Green unable to pick up the slack. Jimmy Butler, who leads the Warriors with 21 points per game on 44.1% shooting, has found it increasingly difficult to navigate Minnesota’s defense. Kerr admitted that the absence of Curry has stifled their spacing, making it harder for Butler to find clean looks.
Kerr noted that the team is still trying to “find some openings” for Butler, but without the gravity of Curry’s presence, it’s been an uphill battle. Game 5 represents a win-or-go-home scenario for the Warriors, and they’ll need an inspired effort from their supporting cast if they want to extend the series.
Player Props Picks (Golden State):
Jimmy Butler Over 25.5 Points: Butler has been the main offensive weapon for Golden State, and with their backs against the wall, expect him to be aggressive and look to score early and often.
Draymond Green Over 4.5 Assists: With Curry out, Green has taken on more playmaking duties. Look for him to rack up assists as he tries to set up teammates for open looks.
Game 5 Prediction and Final Score
Minnesota is primed to close out this series in dominant fashion. Edwards and Randle are clicking, the defense is tightening up, and Golden State just can’t seem to find its stride without Curry. Expect the Timberwolves to cover the 10.5-point spread and advance to the Western Conference Finals with a decisive 112-97 victory.
Spread: Minnesota -10.5
Toral: Over 203.5
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 112, Golden State 97
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
