Kansas City (28-25) at Minnesota (29-22)
- When: May 25 2025, 2:10 PM
- Where: Target Field, Minneapolis
- Where to watch: FDSKC
Royals vs. Twins – Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: Minnesota -120 | Total: 7.5
Minnesota Twins Betting Outlook
No team in baseball has had a hotter May than the Minnesota Twins. Winners of 16 of their last 18, the Twins are hunting for a clean three-game sweep of division rival Kansas City to cap off a six-game homestand. Minnesota’s momentum is undeniable, both wins in this series came in thrilling walk-off fashion, capped most recently by Brooks Lee’s clutch RBI single on Saturday.
While starter Bailey Ober (4-1, 3.68 ERA) has historically struggled against the Royals, he’s trending in the right direction. Ober’s ERA against Kansas City is an ugly 5.90 across 11 starts, but he did hold them to one run over nearly seven innings in April. He’ll need to flip the script and shake off his 0-4 record vs. KC to help Minnesota cash as short home favorites.
The Twins’ bullpen has been a secret weapon in the series, allowing just two runs across 8.1 innings. And with Carlos Correa back in the mix scoring Saturday’s game-winner after returning from a concussion—Minnesota’s lineup gets an extra boost despite still being without Byron Buxton.
Player Prop to Watch (MIN): Look for Carlos Correa to stay hot at the plate. After his return sparked two game-winning rallies, he could make noise again.
Kansas City Royals Betting Outlook
The Royals enter Sunday dazed from two straight walk-off losses that left manager Matt Quatraro calling them a “gut punch.” Despite competing hard and holding early leads in both games, Kansas City’s bullpen collapsed under pressure.
They turn to lefty Kris Bubic (5-2, 1.47 ERA) in hopes of salvaging the finale. While Bubic has been dominant this year, his track record against Minnesota is rough 1-5 lifetime with a 5.27 ERA. The Twins are hitting .333 off him with a robust .902 OPS. Yikes.
Kansas City’s offense has shown signs of life, particularly from Vinnie Pasquantino, who’s riding an eight-game hitting streak. He’s 5-for-8 this series and helping steady the heart of the lineup.
Player Prop to Watch (KC): Expect Vinnie Pasquantino to keep swinging a hot bat, especially in a revenge spot against Ober.
Prediction:
The Twins are red-hot, and with their bullpen holding firm and Correa back, they’re built to finish the sweep.
Final Score Prediction: Twins 4, Royals 3
Lean: Minnesota ML (-120)
Total: Under 7.5 (-125) – If the bullpens stay sharp.
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
