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LA Dodgers (43-25) at Pittsburgh (35-33)
- When: Jun 11 2026, 6:40 PM
- Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
- TV: SportsNet LA
LA Dodgers vs Pittsburgh MLB Preview & Pick
Moneyline: LA Dodgers -164
Runline: LA Dodgers -1.5 (+100)
Total: 9.5
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Dodgers enter Thursday’s series finale looking to quickly recover after one of their more frustrating losses of the season. Los Angeles appeared in complete control Wednesday before watching a five-run advantage disappear in a shocking 9-8 defeat.
Despite the setback, the Dodgers remain in a favorable position behind Justin Wrobleski. The young left-hander owns an impressive 7-2 record with a 2.62 ERA and continues to emerge as a key piece of Los Angeles’ injury-depleted rotation.
Wrobleski is coming off six shutout innings against Arizona and has now recorded four starts this season with at least six scoreless frames. His consistency has helped stabilize a pitching staff dealing with injuries to Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow.
Offensively, Los Angeles still features enough firepower to put pressure on any opposing starter. Even with catcher Will Smith sidelined, the Dodgers remain one of baseball’s most dangerous lineups.
Player Prop Pick: Justin Wrobleski Over 4.5 Strikeouts – Wrobleski is in strong form and faces a Pittsburgh lineup missing key contributors. His recent command and ability to work deep into games make his strikeout total attractive.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pirates head into the rubber match full of confidence after an emotional comeback victory fueled by an unforgettable performance from Tyler Callihan.
Callihan entered Wednesday with just three career hits before delivering the first two home runs of his major league career, including a go-ahead three-run blast during Pittsburgh’s decisive five-run eighth inning.
While the offense delivered a memorable moment, pitching remains the bigger concern entering Thursday. Mitch Keller brings a 5-3 record and 4.81 ERA into the matchup, but recent results have been troubling. Over his last two starts, Keller has surrendered 13 runs and 17 hits in only 8 2/3 innings.
The matchup history is also challenging. Keller owns a 6.59 ERA in six career starts against Los Angeles and will need a major turnaround against one of baseball’s deepest lineups.
Injuries continue to test Pittsburgh’s depth, but the club has shown resilience throughout this series and will look to carry that momentum into the finale.
Player Prop Pick: Mitch Keller Under 4.5 Strikeouts – Given his recent struggles and the patience of the Dodgers lineup, Keller may find it difficult to pitch deep enough into the game to reach a high strikeout number.
MLB Expert Picks & Final Score Prediction
Pittsburgh deserves credit for Wednesday’s comeback, but the pitching matchup strongly favors Los Angeles. Wrobleski enters in excellent form while Keller has struggled both recently and historically against the Dodgers.
The Dodgers respond to Wednesday’s collapse with a bounce-back performance and secure the series behind another strong outing from Justin Wrobleski.
Final Score: Dodgers 7, Pirates 4
Lean: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+100)
Total: Over 9.5 (-104)
- MLB Baseball Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
