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MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox 9/26/2023

  • Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
  • Date: Tuesday, September 26, 2023
  • Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
  • TV: NESN
  • Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-115) Boston (-105)

Fenway Park is set to host an exciting game between the Tampa Bay Rays (95-62) and the Boston Red Sox (76-80) on Tuesday. The current betting odds for this matchup favor Tampa Bay at -115, while Boston sits at -105. The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers for this game will be Zach Eflin and Tanner Houck.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox
Moneyline

Tampa Bay Rays   -124
Boston Red Sox   +104

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox
Runline

Tampa Bay Rays   -1.5 (+135)
Boston Red Sox   1.5 (-160)

Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox
Total

Over   8.0 (-105)
Under   8.0 (-115)

Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook

The Tampa Bay Rays have been consistent on offense this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game, which ranks them 4th in the league. They have recorded a total of 823 runs and have a team OBP of .330. The Rays have shown power at the plate with 269 doubles and 222 home runs. Their batting average sits at .258, and they have recorded 791 RBIs and 1,372 hits. The team’s slugging rate is .443, and they have struck out 1,384 times while drawing 500 walks.

Looking at their pitching staff, the Rays have a team ERA of 3.83, which is 4th best in the league. They have struck out 1,454 batters and have surrendered 171 home runs and 634 runs in total. The Rays’ pitching staff has walked 425 hitters, and their FIP stands at 3.81. They have given up 1,209 hits and 594 earned runs, with a K/BB ratio of 3.42 and a WHIP of 1.17. In terms of bullpen performance, the Rays’ relievers have come into the game with runners on base 119 times and have earned 76 holds so far this season.

Defensively, the Tampa Bay Rays have demonstrated solid fielding with 4,191 putouts and a fielding percentage of .988, ranking them 6th in professional baseball. They have turned 112 double plays and have a defensive efficiency of 70.6%. Out of 12,573 innings played, they have converted 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs, ranking them 3rd in MLB.

Zach Eflin will take the mound for the Tampa Bay Rays. He has 734 strikeouts in his MLB career and has pitched 832 innings. Eflin holds a career record of 51-53 with an ERA of 4.27. He has allowed 847 hits and 184 walks, with a WHIP of 1.239. In terms of his opponent, Tanner Houck, he has given up 205 hits in 243 innings pitched and has accumulated 255 strikeouts. Houck holds a career ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.214.

On the other side, the Boston Red Sox boast a slugging percentage of .430 and average 4.83 runs per game, ranking them 9th in the league. They have recorded 331 doubles and have hit 180 home runs, driving in a total of 719 runs. The Red Sox have a team on-base percentage of .327 and a batting average of .261 this season.

In terms of pitching, the Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.351 and a FIP of 4.42 as a staff. They have accumulated 1,374 strikeouts and have given up 1,377 hits. The Red Sox have surrendered 204 home runs and have a team ERA of 4.57, allowing an average of 4.92 runs per 9 innings. Their bullpen has recorded a save rate of 72.4% and has dispatched 496 pitchers to the mound this year.

Defensively, the Boston Red Sox have turned 131 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982. They have amassed 1,370 assists, 100 errors, and 4,134 putouts in 12,402 innings played.

Based on the current odds, our pick for this game is Tampa Bay at -115.

If you’re looking for expert picks from trusted cappers, make sure to explore Handicappers Edge.

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