NY Mets (45-30) at Philadelphia (45-30)
- When: Jun 20 2025, 7:15 PM
- Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
- Where to watch: Apple TV+
Mets vs. Phillies – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: Philadelphia -185 | Total: 8.5
Philadelphia Phillies: Red-Hot and Ready to Roll
The Phillies return home riding a wave of momentum and tied for the top spot in the NL East after clawing back from a 5.5-game deficit earlier this month. They’ve won 7 of their last 8 games, including a hard-fought 2-1 win Thursday night over the Marlins that capped a 3-1 series win.
Now they open a weekend set at Citizens Bank Park against a spiraling Mets squad. Veteran ace Zack Wheeler (7-2, 2.76 ERA) gets the call, and he’s been nothing short of reliable all season. Coming off a sharp six-inning outing against Toronto, Wheeler now faces his former club with the chance to put Philly in sole possession of first place. He’s 5-5 with a 3.53 ERA in 16 career starts vs. New York.
With Philly’s offense clicking and Wheeler on the mound at home, the -185 moneyline may be chalky, but it’s justified. Consider pairing with the under 8.5 in a lower-scoring matchup.
New York Mets: Free Falling and Short-Handed
The Mets enter the weekend ice cold, dropping six straight games while watching their early-season division lead vanish. In the past week alone, they’ve been outscored 41-14 and have now been swept in consecutive series for the first time all year.
Rookie Blade Tidwell (0-1, 14.73 ERA) returns from Triple-A to replace the injured Tylor Megill in the rotation. Tidwell was hit hard in his lone MLB appearance back in May, giving up six runs in fewer than four innings. His 4.76 ERA in Syracuse doesn’t inspire much confidence heading into a road matchup against a locked-in Phillies team.
The Mets’ injury list continues to grow, with Megill joining Senga and Kranick. That’s left the bullpen gassed and the rotation scrambling.
It’s tough to back the Mets in this spot, especially with an untested rookie and a lineup that’s cooled off. They’ll need a miracle to hang with Philadelphia.
Prediction:
This game feels like a mismatch on paper and on the field. Philly has the edge in form, pitching, and confidence and with the home crowd behind them, expect them to take the opener.
Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Mets 2
Pick: Philadelphia RL -1.5 (+100)
Total: Under 8.5 (-105)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
